Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued April 11 for Toronto Pearson International Airport—the market's resolution station—projects a daytime high of 18°C on April 13 amid cloudy skies and showers, aligning with The Weather Network's 17°C call featuring 60% precipitation odds. Trader consensus, with market-implied probabilities tightly bunched at 20°C (24%), 21°C (22%), and 19°C (22%), anticipates modest warming if afternoon showers taper and partial sun breaks through, per ensemble spreads from global models like GFS and ECMWF. Differentiating factors include cloud fraction suppressing daytime heating, southerly flow potential for warmer boundary-layer air, and 40-60% POP; above-normal mid-April norms (11-13°C) support upside risk. Overnight model updates will clarify Sunday trends before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月13日のトロントの最高気温は?
4月13日のトロントの最高気温は?
20℃ 23.8%
19°C 22%
21°C 20%
22℃ 16%
$18,883 Vol.
$18,883 Vol.
14°C以下
<1%
15℃
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18℃
10%
19°C
22%
20℃
24%
21°C
20%
22℃
16%
23℃
4%
24°C以上
4%
20℃ 23.8%
19°C 22%
21°C 20%
22℃ 16%
$18,883 Vol.
$18,883 Vol.
14°C以下
<1%
15℃
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18℃
10%
19°C
22%
20℃
24%
21°C
20%
22℃
16%
23℃
4%
24°C以上
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued April 11 for Toronto Pearson International Airport—the market's resolution station—projects a daytime high of 18°C on April 13 amid cloudy skies and showers, aligning with The Weather Network's 17°C call featuring 60% precipitation odds. Trader consensus, with market-implied probabilities tightly bunched at 20°C (24%), 21°C (22%), and 19°C (22%), anticipates modest warming if afternoon showers taper and partial sun breaks through, per ensemble spreads from global models like GFS and ECMWF. Differentiating factors include cloud fraction suppressing daytime heating, southerly flow potential for warmer boundary-layer air, and 40-60% POP; above-normal mid-April norms (11-13°C) support upside risk. Overnight model updates will clarify Sunday trends before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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