Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecasts for Toronto Pearson International Airport, projecting a daytime high near 8°C on April 12 amid mainly cloudy skies and periods of showers starting in the morning. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level trough ushering cool air masses over southern Ontario, combined with abundant low-level moisture fueling precipitation that caps diurnal heating—key factors differentiating the tight race between 7°C (16.3% implied probability, heavier rain scenarios) and 10°C (16.5%, partial cloud breaks). Over the past 24 hours, GEM and ensemble model updates have converged on this range, down from earlier 10-13°C outlooks, amid below-normal April temperatures averaging 5°C so far. Hourly observations and afternoon forecast refinements will sharpen resolution criteria tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Toronto on April 12?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 12?
8°C 25.8%
9°C 19.3%
7°C 16.2%
10°C 16%
$60,220 Vol.
$60,220 Vol.
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
6%
7°C
16%
8°C
26%
9°C
19%
10°C
16%
11°C
12%
12°C
8%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C or higher
1%
8°C 25.8%
9°C 19.3%
7°C 16.2%
10°C 16%
$60,220 Vol.
$60,220 Vol.
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
6%
7°C
16%
8°C
26%
9°C
19%
10°C
16%
11°C
12%
12°C
8%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecasts for Toronto Pearson International Airport, projecting a daytime high near 8°C on April 12 amid mainly cloudy skies and periods of showers starting in the morning. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level trough ushering cool air masses over southern Ontario, combined with abundant low-level moisture fueling precipitation that caps diurnal heating—key factors differentiating the tight race between 7°C (16.3% implied probability, heavier rain scenarios) and 10°C (16.5%, partial cloud breaks). Over the past 24 hours, GEM and ensemble model updates have converged on this range, down from earlier 10-13°C outlooks, amid below-normal April temperatures averaging 5°C so far. Hourly observations and afternoon forecast refinements will sharpen resolution criteria tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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