Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 34°C (43.5%), 35°C (34.5%), and 36°C (33.5%) for Lagos's highest temperature on April 11, driven by NiMet's latest outlook forecasting sunny intervals with isolated thunderstorms and light rains over southern Nigeria, including Lagos. This introduces uncertainty in afternoon convective activity, which could cap solar insolation and peak heating at Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), the market's resolution source. Divergent international models—AccuWeather at ~33°C, UK Met Office at 32°C max (feels-like 34°C)—highlight variability in cloud cover timing and sea breeze onset, potentially differentiating outcomes by 1–2°C amid urban heat island effects. Historical April baselines average 32°C, with real-time METAR updates expected through late afternoon providing clarity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月11日のラゴスの最高気温は?
4月11日のラゴスの最高気温は?
34°C 40%
33℃ 39%
36°C 33.5%
32℃ 22%
27°C以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29℃
1%
30°C
2%
31℃
3%
32℃
22%
33℃
23%
34°C
44%
35°C
35%
36°C
33%
37°C以上
1%
34°C 40%
33℃ 39%
36°C 33.5%
32℃ 22%
27°C以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29℃
1%
30°C
2%
31℃
3%
32℃
22%
33℃
23%
34°C
44%
35°C
35%
36°C
33%
37°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 34°C (43.5%), 35°C (34.5%), and 36°C (33.5%) for Lagos's highest temperature on April 11, driven by NiMet's latest outlook forecasting sunny intervals with isolated thunderstorms and light rains over southern Nigeria, including Lagos. This introduces uncertainty in afternoon convective activity, which could cap solar insolation and peak heating at Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), the market's resolution source. Divergent international models—AccuWeather at ~33°C, UK Met Office at 32°C max (feels-like 34°C)—highlight variability in cloud cover timing and sea breeze onset, potentially differentiating outcomes by 1–2°C amid urban heat island effects. Historical April baselines average 32°C, with real-time METAR updates expected through late afternoon providing clarity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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