Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 13, with implied probabilities clustered evenly around 20–28°C outcomes at 50% amid model spread from global systems like ECMWF and GFS. The South African Weather Service's latest extended outlook calls for partly cloudy skies and isolated showers over the City of Cape Town region, potentially capping highs below the April climatological average of 22–23°C due to lingering autumnal frontal influences and recent light rain on April 10–12 suppressing daytime heating. Clearing trends or berg wind föhn effects could push toward 25–28°C, differentiating higher bins, while persistent cloud cover favors 20–22°C. Final SAWS updates tomorrow will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月13日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
4月13日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
30℃以上 26%
29℃ 19%
22°C 19%
21℃ 19%
新規
新規
2026/04/13
20℃以下
1%
21℃
19%
22°C
19%
23°C
12%
24℃
12%
25℃
10%
26℃
12%
27℃
15%
28°C
14%
29℃
19%
30℃以上
26%
30℃以上 26%
29℃ 19%
22°C 19%
21℃ 19%
新規
新規
2026/04/13
20℃以下
$47 Vol.
1%
21℃
$47 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
19%
23°C
$0 Vol.
12%
24℃
$0 Vol.
12%
25℃
$0 Vol.
10%
26℃
$0 Vol.
12%
27℃
$0 Vol.
15%
28°C
$0 Vol.
14%
29℃
$0 Vol.
19%
30℃以上
$1 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 13, with implied probabilities clustered evenly around 20–28°C outcomes at 50% amid model spread from global systems like ECMWF and GFS. The South African Weather Service's latest extended outlook calls for partly cloudy skies and isolated showers over the City of Cape Town region, potentially capping highs below the April climatological average of 22–23°C due to lingering autumnal frontal influences and recent light rain on April 10–12 suppressing daytime heating. Clearing trends or berg wind föhn effects could push toward 25–28°C, differentiating higher bins, while persistent cloud cover favors 20–22°C. Final SAWS updates tomorrow will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
音量
$95終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 13, with implied probabilities clustered evenly around 20–28°C outcomes at 50% amid model spread from global systems like ECMWF and GFS. The South African Weather Service's latest extended outlook calls for partly cloudy skies and isolated showers over the City of Cape Town region, potentially capping highs below the April climatological average of 22–23°C due to lingering autumnal frontal influences and recent light rain on April 10–12 suppressing daytime heating. Clearing trends or berg wind föhn effects could push toward 25–28°C, differentiating higher bins, while persistent cloud cover favors 20–22°C. Final SAWS updates tomorrow will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$95終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 13, with implied probabilities clustered evenly around 20–28°C outcomes at 50% amid model spread from global systems like ECMWF and GFS. The South African Weather Service's latest extended outlook calls for partly cloudy skies and isolated showers over the City of Cape Town region, potentially capping highs below the April climatological average of 22–23°C due to lingering autumnal frontal influences and recent light rain on April 10–12 suppressing daytime heating. Clearing trends or berg wind föhn effects could push toward 25–28°C, differentiating higher bins, while persistent cloud cover favors 20–22°C. Final SAWS updates tomorrow will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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