Latest AEMET guidance for Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market resolution station, forecasts a high of 14°C on April 13 amid lingering cold air, northeast winds at 15 km/h, and 55% precipitation odds from high clouds and possible showers. Trader consensus tilts toward 15°C (33.5%) and 16°C (31.5%), reflecting ensemble spread across ECMWF and GFS models suggesting potential partial clearing and slightly higher peaks if cloud cover thins during peak insolation hours around 3-5 PM. Key differentiators include boundary layer stability and timing of any convective activity; historical April norms near 18°C underscore climatological upside risk, but current frontal passage caps extremes. New model runs overnight could refine odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Madrid on April 13?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 13?
16°C 35%
15°C 34%
17°C 14%
14°C 11.3%
$16,075 Vol.
$16,075 Vol.
2026/04/13
13°C or below
3%
14°C
11%
15°C
34%
16°C
35%
17°C
14%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
16°C 35%
15°C 34%
17°C 14%
14°C 11.3%
$16,075 Vol.
$16,075 Vol.
2026/04/13
13°C or below
$2,788 Vol.
3%
14°C
$2,426 Vol.
11%
15°C
$799 Vol.
34%
16°C
$761 Vol.
35%
17°C
$1,242 Vol.
14%
18°C
$1,556 Vol.
3%
19°C
$1,447 Vol.
2%
20°C
$1,540 Vol.
1%
21°C
$776 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,008 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$1,758 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest AEMET guidance for Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market resolution station, forecasts a high of 14°C on April 13 amid lingering cold air, northeast winds at 15 km/h, and 55% precipitation odds from high clouds and possible showers. Trader consensus tilts toward 15°C (33.5%) and 16°C (31.5%), reflecting ensemble spread across ECMWF and GFS models suggesting potential partial clearing and slightly higher peaks if cloud cover thins during peak insolation hours around 3-5 PM. Key differentiators include boundary layer stability and timing of any convective activity; historical April norms near 18°C underscore climatological upside risk, but current frontal passage caps extremes. New model runs overnight could refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 9, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
音量
$16,075終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:37 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest AEMET guidance for Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market resolution station, forecasts a high of 14°C on April 13 amid lingering cold air, northeast winds at 15 km/h, and 55% precipitation odds from high clouds and possible showers. Trader consensus tilts toward 15°C (33.5%) and 16°C (31.5%), reflecting ensemble spread across ECMWF and GFS models suggesting potential partial clearing and slightly higher peaks if cloud cover thins during peak insolation hours around 3-5 PM. Key differentiators include boundary layer stability and timing of any convective activity; historical April norms near 18°C underscore climatological upside risk, but current frontal passage caps extremes. New model runs overnight could refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$16,075終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:37 AM ETLatest AEMET guidance for Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market resolution station, forecasts a high of 14°C on April 13 amid lingering cold air, northeast winds at 15 km/h, and 55% precipitation odds from high clouds and possible showers. Trader consensus tilts toward 15°C (33.5%) and 16°C (31.5%), reflecting ensemble spread across ECMWF and GFS models suggesting potential partial clearing and slightly higher peaks if cloud cover thins during peak insolation hours around 3-5 PM. Key differentiators include boundary layer stability and timing of any convective activity; historical April norms near 18°C underscore climatological upside risk, but current frontal passage caps extremes. New model runs overnight could refine odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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