National Weather Service forecasts confirm a high near 52°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on April 12, driving near-unanimous trader consensus (99.6% implied probability) for 44°F or higher, backed by consistent guidance from major models like GFS and ECMWF showing mild southerly flow and high pressure ridging aloft. Recent 24-hour updates reflect stable synoptic patterns with no cold fronts inbound, aligning with April climatological normals of 58°F highs amid typical spring variability. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer persistence or northerly wind shifts capping temperatures below 44°F, though current soundings and ensemble spreads indicate low likelihood; monitor hourly observations and afternoon NWS updates for final confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月12日のシカゴの最高気温は?
4月12日のシカゴの最高気温は?
44°F以上 99.6%
26〜27°F <1%
25°F以下 <1%
42〜43°F <1%
$55,396 Vol.
$55,396 Vol.
25°F以下
<1%
26〜27°F
<1%
28〜29°F
<1%
30〜31°F
<1%
32〜33°F
<1%
34〜35°F
<1%
36~37°F
<1%
38〜39°F
<1%
40〜41°F
<1%
42〜43°F
<1%
44°F以上
100%
44°F以上 99.6%
26〜27°F <1%
25°F以下 <1%
42〜43°F <1%
$55,396 Vol.
$55,396 Vol.
25°F以下
<1%
26〜27°F
<1%
28〜29°F
<1%
30〜31°F
<1%
32〜33°F
<1%
34〜35°F
<1%
36~37°F
<1%
38〜39°F
<1%
40〜41°F
<1%
42〜43°F
<1%
44°F以上
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts confirm a high near 52°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on April 12, driving near-unanimous trader consensus (99.6% implied probability) for 44°F or higher, backed by consistent guidance from major models like GFS and ECMWF showing mild southerly flow and high pressure ridging aloft. Recent 24-hour updates reflect stable synoptic patterns with no cold fronts inbound, aligning with April climatological normals of 58°F highs amid typical spring variability. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer persistence or northerly wind shifts capping temperatures below 44°F, though current soundings and ensemble spreads indicate low likelihood; monitor hourly observations and afternoon NWS updates for final confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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