Hong Kong Observatory's official daily extract confirms the absolute maximum temperature of 28°C on April 10, 2026, recorded at key automatic weather stations amid fine, sunny conditions with light winds and moderate humidity that enabled standard daytime heating under high-pressure influence. This aligns with trader consensus at near-certainty (99.9% implied probability), reflecting real-time observations peaking near that threshold without convective activity or cloud interference, consistent with early April climatology slightly above the 25°C historical average max. Realistic challenges—such as post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration or overlooked urban heat island effects at peripheral sites like Chek Lap Kok—remain improbable given rigorous HKO verification protocols, with resolution imminent upon final publication.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 10?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 10?
28°C 99.8%
29°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$239,609 Vol.
$239,609 Vol.
2026/04/10
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.8%
29°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$239,609 Vol.
$239,609 Vol.
2026/04/10
20°C or below
$3,328 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$5,611 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5,529 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,891 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,374 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$8,418 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$20,299 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$92,776 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$36,208 Vol.
100%
29°C
$30,799 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$25,375 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official daily extract confirms the absolute maximum temperature of 28°C on April 10, 2026, recorded at key automatic weather stations amid fine, sunny conditions with light winds and moderate humidity that enabled standard daytime heating under high-pressure influence. This aligns with trader consensus at near-certainty (99.9% implied probability), reflecting real-time observations peaking near that threshold without convective activity or cloud interference, consistent with early April climatology slightly above the 25°C historical average max. Realistic challenges—such as post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration or overlooked urban heat island effects at peripheral sites like Chek Lap Kok—remain improbable given rigorous HKO verification protocols, with resolution imminent upon final publication.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
音量
$239,609終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official daily extract confirms the absolute maximum temperature of 28°C on April 10, 2026, recorded at key automatic weather stations amid fine, sunny conditions with light winds and moderate humidity that enabled standard daytime heating under high-pressure influence. This aligns with trader consensus at near-certainty (99.9% implied probability), reflecting real-time observations peaking near that threshold without convective activity or cloud interference, consistent with early April climatology slightly above the 25°C historical average max. Realistic challenges—such as post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration or overlooked urban heat island effects at peripheral sites like Chek Lap Kok—remain improbable given rigorous HKO verification protocols, with resolution imminent upon final publication.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$239,609終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's official daily extract confirms the absolute maximum temperature of 28°C on April 10, 2026, recorded at key automatic weather stations amid fine, sunny conditions with light winds and moderate humidity that enabled standard daytime heating under high-pressure influence. This aligns with trader consensus at near-certainty (99.9% implied probability), reflecting real-time observations peaking near that threshold without convective activity or cloud interference, consistent with early April climatology slightly above the 25°C historical average max. Realistic challenges—such as post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration or overlooked urban heat island effects at peripheral sites like Chek Lap Kok—remain improbable given rigorous HKO verification protocols, with resolution imminent upon final publication.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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