MetService's latest forecasts, projecting a daytime high of 19°C at Kelburn—the primary observation site for Wellington—on April 13 amid strong easterly winds turning westerly with potential severe gales, anchor trader consensus, yielding market-implied odds split tightly between 20°C (30.5%) and 19°C (30.0%). This reflects short-range model ensemble uncertainty, where slight northerly wind enhancements or earlier clearing could nudge peaks to 20°C, while persistent cloud or gusts cap them lower; April climatological highs average 16°C, making the outlook warmer than normal. Resolution draws from Weather Underground records at the official station. Traders await MetService's refined 48-hour update tonight and tomorrow's observations to resolve ambiguities in diurnal temperature profiles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wellington on April 13?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 13?
20°C 29%
19°C 27%
18°C 20%
21°C 8.0%
$10,732 Vol.
$10,732 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
20%
19°C
27%
20°C
29%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
5%
20°C 29%
19°C 27%
18°C 20%
21°C 8.0%
$10,732 Vol.
$10,732 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
20%
19°C
27%
20°C
29%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
MetService's latest forecasts, projecting a daytime high of 19°C at Kelburn—the primary observation site for Wellington—on April 13 amid strong easterly winds turning westerly with potential severe gales, anchor trader consensus, yielding market-implied odds split tightly between 20°C (30.5%) and 19°C (30.0%). This reflects short-range model ensemble uncertainty, where slight northerly wind enhancements or earlier clearing could nudge peaks to 20°C, while persistent cloud or gusts cap them lower; April climatological highs average 16°C, making the outlook warmer than normal. Resolution draws from Weather Underground records at the official station. Traders await MetService's refined 48-hour update tonight and tomorrow's observations to resolve ambiguities in diurnal temperature profiles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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