Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 11, 2026, with near-100% implied probability, backed by observational data from local weather stations like Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport showing the daily peak reached exactly 28°C amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity. Updated hourly reports through late afternoon confirm this maximum, as southerly winds and partly cloudy skies limited solar heating despite typical April climatological highs around 27–29°C in the Pearl River Delta region. Forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Weather.com initially projected 29°C but adjusted downward with real-time data. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-daylight data revision by the China Meteorological Administration, though sunset at approximately 6:40 PM CST has passed, solidifying the record.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 11?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 11?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$161,729 Vol.
$161,729 Vol.
2026/04/11
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$161,729 Vol.
$161,729 Vol.
2026/04/11
22°C or below
$968 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,347 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,776 Vol.
No
25°C
$7,823 Vol.
No
26°C
$14,200 Vol.
No
27°C
$47,662 Vol.
No
28°C
$38,163 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$8,908 Vol.
No
30°C
$7,742 Vol.
No
31°C
$14,867 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$15,272 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 11, 2026, with near-100% implied probability, backed by observational data from local weather stations like Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport showing the daily peak reached exactly 28°C amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity. Updated hourly reports through late afternoon confirm this maximum, as southerly winds and partly cloudy skies limited solar heating despite typical April climatological highs around 27–29°C in the Pearl River Delta region. Forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Weather.com initially projected 29°C but adjusted downward with real-time data. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-daylight data revision by the China Meteorological Administration, though sunset at approximately 6:40 PM CST has passed, solidifying the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
音量
$161,729終了日
2026/04/11マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 11, 2026, with near-100% implied probability, backed by observational data from local weather stations like Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport showing the daily peak reached exactly 28°C amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity. Updated hourly reports through late afternoon confirm this maximum, as southerly winds and partly cloudy skies limited solar heating despite typical April climatological highs around 27–29°C in the Pearl River Delta region. Forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Weather.com initially projected 29°C but adjusted downward with real-time data. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-daylight data revision by the China Meteorological Administration, though sunset at approximately 6:40 PM CST has passed, solidifying the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$161,729終了日
2026/04/11マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 11, 2026, with near-100% implied probability, backed by observational data from local weather stations like Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport showing the daily peak reached exactly 28°C amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity. Updated hourly reports through late afternoon confirm this maximum, as southerly winds and partly cloudy skies limited solar heating despite typical April climatological highs around 27–29°C in the Pearl River Delta region. Forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Weather.com initially projected 29°C but adjusted downward with real-time data. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-daylight data revision by the China Meteorological Administration, though sunset at approximately 6:40 PM CST has passed, solidifying the record.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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