Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an 18°C high in Seoul on April 12 at 32.5% implied probability, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing clusters around 17–20°C amid model divergence on cloud cover and upper-air patterns. This aligns with Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) April climatological averages of 16–20°C and recent spring variability, including an untimely cold snap earlier this week that kept April 10 highs near 12–15°C. High uncertainty stems from partly cloudy conditions potentially limiting solar insolation—northerly winds and thicker clouds could cap temperatures at 16–17°C (23.3% combined), while clearer skies might boost to 19–20°C (32%). Watch KMA's evening short-term update and overnight model refreshes for shifts before resolution based on Incheon International Airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月12日のソウルの最高気温は？
4月12日のソウルの最高気温は？
18°C 32%
19℃ 20%
17°C 14%
20℃ 11%
$117,443 Vol.
$117,443 Vol.
2026/04/12
14°C以下
3%
15℃
7%
16℃
10%
17°C
14%
18°C
32%
19℃
20%
20℃
11%
21°C
7%
22°C
6%
23℃
2%
24℃以上
1%
18°C 32%
19℃ 20%
17°C 14%
20℃ 11%
$117,443 Vol.
$117,443 Vol.
2026/04/12
14°C以下
$21,213 Vol.
3%
15℃
$13,699 Vol.
7%
16℃
$10,292 Vol.
10%
17°C
$6,404 Vol.
14%
18°C
$5,377 Vol.
32%
19℃
$7,329 Vol.
20%
20℃
$5,924 Vol.
11%
21°C
$11,179 Vol.
7%
22°C
$13,546 Vol.
6%
23℃
$9,832 Vol.
2%
24℃以上
$13,192 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an 18°C high in Seoul on April 12 at 32.5% implied probability, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing clusters around 17–20°C amid model divergence on cloud cover and upper-air patterns. This aligns with Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) April climatological averages of 16–20°C and recent spring variability, including an untimely cold snap earlier this week that kept April 10 highs near 12–15°C. High uncertainty stems from partly cloudy conditions potentially limiting solar insolation—northerly winds and thicker clouds could cap temperatures at 16–17°C (23.3% combined), while clearer skies might boost to 19–20°C (32%). Watch KMA's evening short-term update and overnight model refreshes for shifts before resolution based on Incheon International Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$117,443終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an 18°C high in Seoul on April 12 at 32.5% implied probability, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing clusters around 17–20°C amid model divergence on cloud cover and upper-air patterns. This aligns with Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) April climatological averages of 16–20°C and recent spring variability, including an untimely cold snap earlier this week that kept April 10 highs near 12–15°C. High uncertainty stems from partly cloudy conditions potentially limiting solar insolation—northerly winds and thicker clouds could cap temperatures at 16–17°C (23.3% combined), while clearer skies might boost to 19–20°C (32%). Watch KMA's evening short-term update and overnight model refreshes for shifts before resolution based on Incheon International Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$117,443終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors an 18°C high in Seoul on April 12 at 32.5% implied probability, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing clusters around 17–20°C amid model divergence on cloud cover and upper-air patterns. This aligns with Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) April climatological averages of 16–20°C and recent spring variability, including an untimely cold snap earlier this week that kept April 10 highs near 12–15°C. High uncertainty stems from partly cloudy conditions potentially limiting solar insolation—northerly winds and thicker clouds could cap temperatures at 16–17°C (23.3% combined), while clearer skies might boost to 19–20°C (32%). Watch KMA's evening short-term update and overnight model refreshes for shifts before resolution based on Incheon International Airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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