Met Office's latest update, issued this afternoon, forecasts a maximum temperature of 14°C around 1-2pm in Greater London, including the London City Airport station that resolves this market, under sunny intervals, southwest breezes of 5-13mph, and a 50% chance of light showers by 4pm. This positioning follows a mid-week heatwave surpassing 26°C—the UK's hottest early April day in 80 years—now displaced by a cool frontal boundary restoring seasonal averages of 12-15°C, with tight consensus across GFS and ECMWF models on subdued highs. Traders' 99% implied probability on 14°C reflects this evidence-based outlook and real-time observations nearing the peak; unexpected prolonged sunshine might push to 15°C, while heavier cloud or precipitation could limit to 13°C or below, with airport data tracking resolution through evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in London on April 11?
Highest temperature in London on April 11?
14°C 99.6%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$254,359 Vol.
$254,359 Vol.
2026/04/11
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.6%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$254,359 Vol.
$254,359 Vol.
2026/04/11
13°C or below
$74,002 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$28,614 Vol.
100%
15°C
$33,935 Vol.
1%
16°C
$19,382 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$14,461 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$13,019 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$9,493 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$16,621 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$14,374 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$14,013 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$16,444 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office's latest update, issued this afternoon, forecasts a maximum temperature of 14°C around 1-2pm in Greater London, including the London City Airport station that resolves this market, under sunny intervals, southwest breezes of 5-13mph, and a 50% chance of light showers by 4pm. This positioning follows a mid-week heatwave surpassing 26°C—the UK's hottest early April day in 80 years—now displaced by a cool frontal boundary restoring seasonal averages of 12-15°C, with tight consensus across GFS and ECMWF models on subdued highs. Traders' 99% implied probability on 14°C reflects this evidence-based outlook and real-time observations nearing the peak; unexpected prolonged sunshine might push to 15°C, while heavier cloud or precipitation could limit to 13°C or below, with airport data tracking resolution through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
音量
$254,359終了日
2026/04/11マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office's latest update, issued this afternoon, forecasts a maximum temperature of 14°C around 1-2pm in Greater London, including the London City Airport station that resolves this market, under sunny intervals, southwest breezes of 5-13mph, and a 50% chance of light showers by 4pm. This positioning follows a mid-week heatwave surpassing 26°C—the UK's hottest early April day in 80 years—now displaced by a cool frontal boundary restoring seasonal averages of 12-15°C, with tight consensus across GFS and ECMWF models on subdued highs. Traders' 99% implied probability on 14°C reflects this evidence-based outlook and real-time observations nearing the peak; unexpected prolonged sunshine might push to 15°C, while heavier cloud or precipitation could limit to 13°C or below, with airport data tracking resolution through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$254,359終了日
2026/04/11マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ETMet Office's latest update, issued this afternoon, forecasts a maximum temperature of 14°C around 1-2pm in Greater London, including the London City Airport station that resolves this market, under sunny intervals, southwest breezes of 5-13mph, and a 50% chance of light showers by 4pm. This positioning follows a mid-week heatwave surpassing 26°C—the UK's hottest early April day in 80 years—now displaced by a cool frontal boundary restoring seasonal averages of 12-15°C, with tight consensus across GFS and ECMWF models on subdued highs. Traders' 99% implied probability on 14°C reflects this evidence-based outlook and real-time observations nearing the peak; unexpected prolonged sunshine might push to 15°C, while heavier cloud or precipitation could limit to 13°C or below, with airport data tracking resolution through evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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