Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Munich's highest temperature on April 11 around 17-18°C, reflecting trader consensus with 17°C at 48% implied probability amid light easterly winds of 5-10 mph and partial clearing after morning clouds. Overnight from April 10, temperatures lingered near 9°C under cloudy, humid conditions (86% relative humidity), priming moderate diurnal heating without strong southerly flow to boost peaks higher. Model spread highlights uncertainty—ECMWF leans warmer with potential sun breaks, while GFS anticipates cooler diurnal caps—consistent with April's climatological highs averaging 13-15°C at Munich Airport (EDDM). Real-time observations and hourly updates today will sharpen resolution as cloud evolution and insolation dictate final outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Munich on April 11?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 11?
17°C 49%
18°C 25%
16°C 16%
19°C 2.7%
$68,920 Vol.
$68,920 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
16%
17°C
49%
18°C
25%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
2%
17°C 49%
18°C 25%
16°C 16%
19°C 2.7%
$68,920 Vol.
$68,920 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
16%
17°C
49%
18°C
25%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Munich's highest temperature on April 11 around 17-18°C, reflecting trader consensus with 17°C at 48% implied probability amid light easterly winds of 5-10 mph and partial clearing after morning clouds. Overnight from April 10, temperatures lingered near 9°C under cloudy, humid conditions (86% relative humidity), priming moderate diurnal heating without strong southerly flow to boost peaks higher. Model spread highlights uncertainty—ECMWF leans warmer with potential sun breaks, while GFS anticipates cooler diurnal caps—consistent with April's climatological highs averaging 13-15°C at Munich Airport (EDDM). Real-time observations and hourly updates today will sharpen resolution as cloud evolution and insolation dictate final outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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