Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for Austin's highest temperature reaching 66°F or higher on April 11, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 80°F under partly sunny skies with light southeast winds and minimal precipitation risk. This positioning aligns with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which show persistent upper-level ridging promoting subsidence and solar heating, consistent with Central Texas's climatological April average high of 78°F—where maxima below 66°F occur in fewer than 5% of historical cases. Current observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport already exceed 70°F midday, further solidifying the outlook. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen cold frontal passage or prolonged overcast conditions, absent in satellite imagery or soundings, with final resolution pending evening observations from official NOAA stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Austin on April 11?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 11?
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$120,716 Vol.
$120,716 Vol.
2026/04/11
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
Yes
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$120,716 Vol.
$120,716 Vol.
2026/04/11
47°F or below
$9,123 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$1,933 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$1,929 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$1,775 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$803 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$1,781 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$1,731 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$2,767 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$5,013 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$4,734 Vol.
No
66°F or higher
$89,128 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for Austin's highest temperature reaching 66°F or higher on April 11, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 80°F under partly sunny skies with light southeast winds and minimal precipitation risk. This positioning aligns with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which show persistent upper-level ridging promoting subsidence and solar heating, consistent with Central Texas's climatological April average high of 78°F—where maxima below 66°F occur in fewer than 5% of historical cases. Current observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport already exceed 70°F midday, further solidifying the outlook. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen cold frontal passage or prolonged overcast conditions, absent in satellite imagery or soundings, with final resolution pending evening observations from official NOAA stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 7, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
音量
$120,716終了日
2026/04/11マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 12:26 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for Austin's highest temperature reaching 66°F or higher on April 11, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 80°F under partly sunny skies with light southeast winds and minimal precipitation risk. This positioning aligns with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which show persistent upper-level ridging promoting subsidence and solar heating, consistent with Central Texas's climatological April average high of 78°F—where maxima below 66°F occur in fewer than 5% of historical cases. Current observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport already exceed 70°F midday, further solidifying the outlook. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen cold frontal passage or prolonged overcast conditions, absent in satellite imagery or soundings, with final resolution pending evening observations from official NOAA stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$120,716終了日
2026/04/11マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 12:26 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for Austin's highest temperature reaching 66°F or higher on April 11, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 80°F under partly sunny skies with light southeast winds and minimal precipitation risk. This positioning aligns with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which show persistent upper-level ridging promoting subsidence and solar heating, consistent with Central Texas's climatological April average high of 78°F—where maxima below 66°F occur in fewer than 5% of historical cases. Current observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport already exceed 70°F midday, further solidifying the outlook. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen cold frontal passage or prolonged overcast conditions, absent in satellite imagery or soundings, with final resolution pending evening observations from official NOAA stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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