Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 12°C in Warsaw on April 11, driven by official observations from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) at Chopin Airport station, where hourly data peaked at 12°C mid-afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs accurately forecasted this modest high within a cool continental air mass typical for early mid-spring in central Poland, with historical April 11 averages around 12-13°C supporting the positioning. Current evening readings near 8°C under clear skies and falling temperatures make any late-day surge to 13°C or higher unlikely, barring an improbable wind shift or prolonged clear-sky radiative heating; final IMGW daily report expected soon will confirm resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 11?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 11?
12°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$83,897 Vol.
$83,897 Vol.
2026/04/11
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$83,897 Vol.
$83,897 Vol.
2026/04/11
12°C
$13,428 Vol.
100%
13°C
$10,773 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$6,624 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$5,197 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$4,327 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$3,997 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 12°C in Warsaw on April 11, driven by official observations from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) at Chopin Airport station, where hourly data peaked at 12°C mid-afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs accurately forecasted this modest high within a cool continental air mass typical for early mid-spring in central Poland, with historical April 11 averages around 12-13°C supporting the positioning. Current evening readings near 8°C under clear skies and falling temperatures make any late-day surge to 13°C or higher unlikely, barring an improbable wind shift or prolonged clear-sky radiative heating; final IMGW daily report expected soon will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 7, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
音量
$83,897終了日
2026/04/11マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 1:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 12°C in Warsaw on April 11, driven by official observations from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) at Chopin Airport station, where hourly data peaked at 12°C mid-afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs accurately forecasted this modest high within a cool continental air mass typical for early mid-spring in central Poland, with historical April 11 averages around 12-13°C supporting the positioning. Current evening readings near 8°C under clear skies and falling temperatures make any late-day surge to 13°C or higher unlikely, barring an improbable wind shift or prolonged clear-sky radiative heating; final IMGW daily report expected soon will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$83,897終了日
2026/04/11マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 1:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 12°C in Warsaw on April 11, driven by official observations from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) at Chopin Airport station, where hourly data peaked at 12°C mid-afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs accurately forecasted this modest high within a cool continental air mass typical for early mid-spring in central Poland, with historical April 11 averages around 12-13°C supporting the positioning. Current evening readings near 8°C under clear skies and falling temperatures make any late-day surge to 13°C or higher unlikely, barring an improbable wind shift or prolonged clear-sky radiative heating; final IMGW daily report expected soon will confirm resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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