The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, updated April 11 at 17:00, projects a 23°C high for Tokyo on April 12 under clear skies with 0% precipitation probability and light winds, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge fueling above-average spring warmth following April 11's observed 25°C peak. However, trader consensus prices 21°C at 44% market-implied odds, reflecting skepticism from recent downward revisions in daily model runs—like April 11's adjustment from 27°C projections—and ensemble spreads from ECMWF/GFS indicating 20–22°C amid potential sea breeze moderation or thin high clouds. April climatology averages 19–20°C highs, with uncertainty in urban heat island effects at official stations; watch evening JMA updates for shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 12?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 12?
21°C 43%
20°C 29%
22°C 19%
19°C 5.5%
$40,532 Vol.
$40,532 Vol.
2026/04/12
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
29%
21°C
43%
22°C
19%
23°C or higher
4%
21°C 43%
20°C 29%
22°C 19%
19°C 5.5%
$40,532 Vol.
$40,532 Vol.
2026/04/12
13°C or below
$2,524 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$3,799 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$2,511 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$5,232 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$5,707 Vol.
1%
18°C
$4,960 Vol.
1%
19°C
$3,971 Vol.
5%
20°C
$2,211 Vol.
29%
21°C
$2,637 Vol.
43%
22°C
$2,849 Vol.
19%
23°C or higher
$4,142 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, updated April 11 at 17:00, projects a 23°C high for Tokyo on April 12 under clear skies with 0% precipitation probability and light winds, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge fueling above-average spring warmth following April 11's observed 25°C peak. However, trader consensus prices 21°C at 44% market-implied odds, reflecting skepticism from recent downward revisions in daily model runs—like April 11's adjustment from 27°C projections—and ensemble spreads from ECMWF/GFS indicating 20–22°C amid potential sea breeze moderation or thin high clouds. April climatology averages 19–20°C highs, with uncertainty in urban heat island effects at official stations; watch evening JMA updates for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$40,532終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, updated April 11 at 17:00, projects a 23°C high for Tokyo on April 12 under clear skies with 0% precipitation probability and light winds, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge fueling above-average spring warmth following April 11's observed 25°C peak. However, trader consensus prices 21°C at 44% market-implied odds, reflecting skepticism from recent downward revisions in daily model runs—like April 11's adjustment from 27°C projections—and ensemble spreads from ECMWF/GFS indicating 20–22°C amid potential sea breeze moderation or thin high clouds. April climatology averages 19–20°C highs, with uncertainty in urban heat island effects at official stations; watch evening JMA updates for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$40,532終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThe Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, updated April 11 at 17:00, projects a 23°C high for Tokyo on April 12 under clear skies with 0% precipitation probability and light winds, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge fueling above-average spring warmth following April 11's observed 25°C peak. However, trader consensus prices 21°C at 44% market-implied odds, reflecting skepticism from recent downward revisions in daily model runs—like April 11's adjustment from 27°C projections—and ensemble spreads from ECMWF/GFS indicating 20–22°C amid potential sea breeze moderation or thin high clouds. April climatology averages 19–20°C highs, with uncertainty in urban heat island effects at official stations; watch evening JMA updates for shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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