Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts point to a high near 23°C in Tokyo on April 13 under mostly cloudy skies following clear, 23°C conditions on April 12, fueling trader sentiment with 40% market-implied odds for 23°C or higher versus 34% for exactly 22°C amid close competition. This reflects early April's warming trend—April 9 highs around 18°C rising above the 19.3°C seasonal normal—driven by persistent high-pressure ridging over eastern Asia and neutral ENSO conditions favoring elevated temperatures. Differentiating factors include cloud cover reducing solar insolation versus potential afternoon mixing boosting peaks to 23°C; inherent forecast uncertainty persists as ensemble models diverge on boundary layer stability. Daily JMA advisories through April 12 will refine probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 13?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 13?
23°C or higher 41%
22°C 36%
21°C 20%
20°C 9%
$13,576 Vol.
$13,576 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
9%
21°C
20%
22°C
36%
23°C or higher
41%
23°C or higher 41%
22°C 36%
21°C 20%
20°C 9%
$13,576 Vol.
$13,576 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
9%
21°C
20%
22°C
36%
23°C or higher
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 9, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts point to a high near 23°C in Tokyo on April 13 under mostly cloudy skies following clear, 23°C conditions on April 12, fueling trader sentiment with 40% market-implied odds for 23°C or higher versus 34% for exactly 22°C amid close competition. This reflects early April's warming trend—April 9 highs around 18°C rising above the 19.3°C seasonal normal—driven by persistent high-pressure ridging over eastern Asia and neutral ENSO conditions favoring elevated temperatures. Differentiating factors include cloud cover reducing solar insolation versus potential afternoon mixing boosting peaks to 23°C; inherent forecast uncertainty persists as ensemble models diverge on boundary layer stability. Daily JMA advisories through April 12 will refine probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問