Observed temperatures at Beijing Capital International Airport, the market's resolution station per China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidelines, have peaked at around 20°C midday under persistent cloudy skies and light drizzle, driving trader consensus to 100% on "24°C or below." Spring climatology supports this, with mid-April average highs of 20-22°C based on 30-year CMA records, amid a cool pattern following early-month snowfall. Ensemble forecast models from global agencies align on maxima of 16-21°C, factoring in weak winds and overcast conditions suppressing solar heating. Only an improbable late-afternoon clearing and adiabatic warming—unseen in recent analogs—could challenge this, with final CMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Beijing on April 11?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 11?
24°C or below 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$95,815 Vol.
$95,815 Vol.
24°C or below
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
24°C or below 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$95,815 Vol.
$95,815 Vol.
24°C or below
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Observed temperatures at Beijing Capital International Airport, the market's resolution station per China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidelines, have peaked at around 20°C midday under persistent cloudy skies and light drizzle, driving trader consensus to 100% on "24°C or below." Spring climatology supports this, with mid-April average highs of 20-22°C based on 30-year CMA records, amid a cool pattern following early-month snowfall. Ensemble forecast models from global agencies align on maxima of 16-21°C, factoring in weak winds and overcast conditions suppressing solar heating. Only an improbable late-afternoon clearing and adiabatic warming—unseen in recent analogs—could challenge this, with final CMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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