Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 18–20°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 13, reflecting uncertainty in the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast of 18°C under mostly cloudy skies—morning multi-cloud to afternoon overcast—following recent highs of 22°C on April 11 and 25°C on April 12. Global numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles imply slightly warmer 21–23°C means, but persistent spread arises from divergent cloud cover projections, light southerly winds limiting mixing, and reduced solar insolation amid spring variability. Mid-April climatological averages hover near 20°C; new CMA bulletins and model runs expected overnight could clarify peak afternoon heating at official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Beijing on April 13?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 13?
19°C 29%
18°C 20%
20°C 20%
21°C 12%
$12,151 Vol.
$12,151 Vol.
2026/04/13
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
20%
19°C
29%
20°C
20%
21°C
12%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
4%
19°C 29%
18°C 20%
20°C 20%
21°C 12%
$12,151 Vol.
$12,151 Vol.
2026/04/13
13°C or below
$2,294 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,519 Vol.
1%
15°C
$1,836 Vol.
1%
16°C
$2,425 Vol.
2%
17°C
$684 Vol.
6%
18°C
$425 Vol.
20%
19°C
$334 Vol.
29%
20°C
$420 Vol.
20%
21°C
$374 Vol.
12%
22°C
$624 Vol.
5%
23°C or higher
$1,216 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 18–20°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 13, reflecting uncertainty in the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast of 18°C under mostly cloudy skies—morning multi-cloud to afternoon overcast—following recent highs of 22°C on April 11 and 25°C on April 12. Global numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles imply slightly warmer 21–23°C means, but persistent spread arises from divergent cloud cover projections, light southerly winds limiting mixing, and reduced solar insolation amid spring variability. Mid-April climatological averages hover near 20°C; new CMA bulletins and model runs expected overnight could clarify peak afternoon heating at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 9, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
音量
$12,151終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:43 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 18–20°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 13, reflecting uncertainty in the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast of 18°C under mostly cloudy skies—morning multi-cloud to afternoon overcast—following recent highs of 22°C on April 11 and 25°C on April 12. Global numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles imply slightly warmer 21–23°C means, but persistent spread arises from divergent cloud cover projections, light southerly winds limiting mixing, and reduced solar insolation amid spring variability. Mid-April climatological averages hover near 20°C; new CMA bulletins and model runs expected overnight could clarify peak afternoon heating at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$12,151終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:43 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 18–20°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 13, reflecting uncertainty in the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast of 18°C under mostly cloudy skies—morning multi-cloud to afternoon overcast—following recent highs of 22°C on April 11 and 25°C on April 12. Global numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles imply slightly warmer 21–23°C means, but persistent spread arises from divergent cloud cover projections, light southerly winds limiting mixing, and reduced solar insolation amid spring variability. Mid-April climatological averages hover near 20°C; new CMA bulletins and model runs expected overnight could clarify peak afternoon heating at official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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