Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 32°C in Singapore on April 11, 2026 (99.6% implied probability), driven by Meteorological Service Singapore's latest observations and forecasts showing persistent thundery showers under inter-monsoon conditions suppressing daytime heating. As of 9 a.m., temperatures peaked near 31°C amid cloudy skies and light winds (5-15 km/h WNW), with afternoon showers forecast over northern and eastern areas at 65-95% probability, limiting solar insolation consistent with early April patterns where cloud cover caps maxima below climatological norms of 31-33°C. The fortnightly outlook notes potential for 33-35°C on clearer days, but today's data aligns with recent wetter trends. A realistic challenge would require unexpected dissipation of showers before late afternoon, enabling rapid convective heating—a low-likelihood scenario given model consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Singapore on April 11?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 11?
32°C 99.6%
34°C <1%
33°C <1%
35°C or higher <1%
$95,764 Vol.
$95,764 Vol.
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.6%
34°C <1%
33°C <1%
35°C or higher <1%
$95,764 Vol.
$95,764 Vol.
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 32°C in Singapore on April 11, 2026 (99.6% implied probability), driven by Meteorological Service Singapore's latest observations and forecasts showing persistent thundery showers under inter-monsoon conditions suppressing daytime heating. As of 9 a.m., temperatures peaked near 31°C amid cloudy skies and light winds (5-15 km/h WNW), with afternoon showers forecast over northern and eastern areas at 65-95% probability, limiting solar insolation consistent with early April patterns where cloud cover caps maxima below climatological norms of 31-33°C. The fortnightly outlook notes potential for 33-35°C on clearer days, but today's data aligns with recent wetter trends. A realistic challenge would require unexpected dissipation of showers before late afternoon, enabling rapid convective heating—a low-likelihood scenario given model consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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