Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 64-65°F high temperature at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on April 10, 2026, driven by official observational data from Weather Underground's historical records confirming a maximum of 65°F reached at 1:56 PM local time. This aligns closely with the April climatological normal of 65.1°F, amid mostly cloudy skies, periods of light and heavy rain, and south-southwest winds gusting to 22 mph that suppressed daytime heating via persistent marine stratus and cool air advection from the Pacific. Localized precipitation up to 0.5 inches further capped temperatures near historical precedents for spring days under similar synoptic patterns. While final National Weather Service verification is pending, instrument recalibration or rare data anomalies could theoretically challenge this, though such revisions are exceedingly uncommon for automated ASOS stations like KSFO.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 10?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 10?
64-65°F 100.0%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$83,893 Vol.
$83,893 Vol.
2026/04/10
64-65°F
100%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 100.0%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$83,893 Vol.
$83,893 Vol.
2026/04/10
64-65°F
$21,570 Vol.
100%
66-67°F
$10,057 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$6,331 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$3,773 Vol.
<1%
72°F or higher
$3,467 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 64-65°F high temperature at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on April 10, 2026, driven by official observational data from Weather Underground's historical records confirming a maximum of 65°F reached at 1:56 PM local time. This aligns closely with the April climatological normal of 65.1°F, amid mostly cloudy skies, periods of light and heavy rain, and south-southwest winds gusting to 22 mph that suppressed daytime heating via persistent marine stratus and cool air advection from the Pacific. Localized precipitation up to 0.5 inches further capped temperatures near historical precedents for spring days under similar synoptic patterns. While final National Weather Service verification is pending, instrument recalibration or rare data anomalies could theoretically challenge this, though such revisions are exceedingly uncommon for automated ASOS stations like KSFO.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 6, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
音量
$83,893終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Apr 6, 2026, 12:45 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 64-65°F high temperature at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on April 10, 2026, driven by official observational data from Weather Underground's historical records confirming a maximum of 65°F reached at 1:56 PM local time. This aligns closely with the April climatological normal of 65.1°F, amid mostly cloudy skies, periods of light and heavy rain, and south-southwest winds gusting to 22 mph that suppressed daytime heating via persistent marine stratus and cool air advection from the Pacific. Localized precipitation up to 0.5 inches further capped temperatures near historical precedents for spring days under similar synoptic patterns. While final National Weather Service verification is pending, instrument recalibration or rare data anomalies could theoretically challenge this, though such revisions are exceedingly uncommon for automated ASOS stations like KSFO.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$83,893終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Apr 6, 2026, 12:45 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 64-65°F high temperature at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on April 10, 2026, driven by official observational data from Weather Underground's historical records confirming a maximum of 65°F reached at 1:56 PM local time. This aligns closely with the April climatological normal of 65.1°F, amid mostly cloudy skies, periods of light and heavy rain, and south-southwest winds gusting to 22 mph that suppressed daytime heating via persistent marine stratus and cool air advection from the Pacific. Localized precipitation up to 0.5 inches further capped temperatures near historical precedents for spring days under similar synoptic patterns. While final National Weather Service verification is pending, instrument recalibration or rare data anomalies could theoretically challenge this, though such revisions are exceedingly uncommon for automated ASOS stations like KSFO.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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