Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45% implied probability for a 60-61°F high temperature at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—driven by persistent marine layer stratus clouds and cool onshore flow advecting Pacific air into the Bay Area. This classic springtime pattern, fueled by cool sea surface temperatures around 55°F, caps daytime heating well below the April climatological normal of 65°F near KSFO. Recent developments include April 9's observed high of just 55°F under similar overcast skies, plus today's morning fog and mid-50s readings delaying solar insolation. National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh project peaks in the low 60s, though afternoon burn-off could push toward 64°F; hourly KSFO observations will clarify as the day progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 11?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 11?
60-61°F 47%
62-63°F 29%
64-65°F 13%
58-59°F 12%
$36,511 Vol.
$36,511 Vol.
2026/04/11
58-59°F
12%
60-61°F
47%
62-63°F
29%
64-65°F
13%
66°F or higher
2%
60-61°F 47%
62-63°F 29%
64-65°F 13%
58-59°F 12%
$36,511 Vol.
$36,511 Vol.
2026/04/11
58-59°F
$3,700 Vol.
12%
60-61°F
$2,038 Vol.
47%
62-63°F
$2,939 Vol.
29%
64-65°F
$3,724 Vol.
13%
66°F or higher
$3,950 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45% implied probability for a 60-61°F high temperature at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—driven by persistent marine layer stratus clouds and cool onshore flow advecting Pacific air into the Bay Area. This classic springtime pattern, fueled by cool sea surface temperatures around 55°F, caps daytime heating well below the April climatological normal of 65°F near KSFO. Recent developments include April 9's observed high of just 55°F under similar overcast skies, plus today's morning fog and mid-50s readings delaying solar insolation. National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh project peaks in the low 60s, though afternoon burn-off could push toward 64°F; hourly KSFO observations will clarify as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
音量
$36,511終了日
2026/04/11マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45% implied probability for a 60-61°F high temperature at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—driven by persistent marine layer stratus clouds and cool onshore flow advecting Pacific air into the Bay Area. This classic springtime pattern, fueled by cool sea surface temperatures around 55°F, caps daytime heating well below the April climatological normal of 65°F near KSFO. Recent developments include April 9's observed high of just 55°F under similar overcast skies, plus today's morning fog and mid-50s readings delaying solar insolation. National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh project peaks in the low 60s, though afternoon burn-off could push toward 64°F; hourly KSFO observations will clarify as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$36,511終了日
2026/04/11マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45% implied probability for a 60-61°F high temperature at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—driven by persistent marine layer stratus clouds and cool onshore flow advecting Pacific air into the Bay Area. This classic springtime pattern, fueled by cool sea surface temperatures around 55°F, caps daytime heating well below the April climatological normal of 65°F near KSFO. Recent developments include April 9's observed high of just 55°F under similar overcast skies, plus today's morning fog and mid-50s readings delaying solar insolation. National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh project peaks in the low 60s, though afternoon burn-off could push toward 64°F; hourly KSFO observations will clarify as the day progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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