Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observational data from official Tokyo stations confirm the maximum temperature on April 11 reached exactly 25°C mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible volume on 26°C or higher. This positioning reflects verified hourly measurements under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light winds, and warm advection from the south, peaking as forecast models like those from JMA and ECMWF refined downward from earlier 27°C projections due to slight increased cloud cover and coastal moderation. Historical April norms hover around 19°C, making 25°C a "summer day" threshold, but with the sun now low, realistic challenges are limited to rare data revisions or an improbable evening spike—both precluded by cooling diurnal cycles and JMA's late-afternoon validation. Final daily summaries expected shortly will solidify resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 11?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 11?
$232,461 Vol.
$232,461 Vol.
2026/04/11
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
$232,461 Vol.
$232,461 Vol.
2026/04/11
25°C
$21,635 Vol.
100%
26°C or higher
$33,516 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observational data from official Tokyo stations confirm the maximum temperature on April 11 reached exactly 25°C mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible volume on 26°C or higher. This positioning reflects verified hourly measurements under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light winds, and warm advection from the south, peaking as forecast models like those from JMA and ECMWF refined downward from earlier 27°C projections due to slight increased cloud cover and coastal moderation. Historical April norms hover around 19°C, making 25°C a "summer day" threshold, but with the sun now low, realistic challenges are limited to rare data revisions or an improbable evening spike—both precluded by cooling diurnal cycles and JMA's late-afternoon validation. Final daily summaries expected shortly will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
音量
$232,461終了日
2026/04/11マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observational data from official Tokyo stations confirm the maximum temperature on April 11 reached exactly 25°C mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible volume on 26°C or higher. This positioning reflects verified hourly measurements under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light winds, and warm advection from the south, peaking as forecast models like those from JMA and ECMWF refined downward from earlier 27°C projections due to slight increased cloud cover and coastal moderation. Historical April norms hover around 19°C, making 25°C a "summer day" threshold, but with the sun now low, realistic challenges are limited to rare data revisions or an improbable evening spike—both precluded by cooling diurnal cycles and JMA's late-afternoon validation. Final daily summaries expected shortly will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$232,461終了日
2026/04/11マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 AM ETJapan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observational data from official Tokyo stations confirm the maximum temperature on April 11 reached exactly 25°C mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible volume on 26°C or higher. This positioning reflects verified hourly measurements under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light winds, and warm advection from the south, peaking as forecast models like those from JMA and ECMWF refined downward from earlier 27°C projections due to slight increased cloud cover and coastal moderation. Historical April norms hover around 19°C, making 25°C a "summer day" threshold, but with the sun now low, realistic challenges are limited to rare data revisions or an improbable evening spike—both precluded by cooling diurnal cycles and JMA's late-afternoon validation. Final daily summaries expected shortly will solidify resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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