Latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means project a high temperature near 62-65°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) today, driving trader consensus toward 62-63°F at 40.5% implied probability, with 60-65°F outcomes capturing over 85% of market volume. This positioning stems from model convergence over the past 48 hours amid sunny skies, northwest winds of 10-15 mph capping daytime heating, and ENSO-neutral conditions aligning with mid-April climatology averaging 60.6°F at nearby Central Park. While short-range uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover, low odds for 59°F or below (8.3%) or 66°F+ (<3%) reflect historical norms without anomalous upper-air patterns; intraday NOAA observations will sharpen resolution by evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in NYC on April 11?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 11?
62-63°F 40%
60-61°F 27%
64-65°F 20%
59°F or below 8.3%
$72,293 Vol.
$72,293 Vol.
2026/04/11
59°F or below
8%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
40%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
62-63°F 40%
60-61°F 27%
64-65°F 20%
59°F or below 8.3%
$72,293 Vol.
$72,293 Vol.
2026/04/11
59°F or below
$15,612 Vol.
8%
60-61°F
$8,287 Vol.
27%
62-63°F
$7,366 Vol.
40%
64-65°F
$5,234 Vol.
20%
66-67°F
$6,646 Vol.
3%
68-69°F
$4,776 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$5,247 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$4,286 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$4,039 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$3,629 Vol.
<1%
78°F or higher
$7,284 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means project a high temperature near 62-65°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) today, driving trader consensus toward 62-63°F at 40.5% implied probability, with 60-65°F outcomes capturing over 85% of market volume. This positioning stems from model convergence over the past 48 hours amid sunny skies, northwest winds of 10-15 mph capping daytime heating, and ENSO-neutral conditions aligning with mid-April climatology averaging 60.6°F at nearby Central Park. While short-range uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover, low odds for 59°F or below (8.3%) or 66°F+ (<3%) reflect historical norms without anomalous upper-air patterns; intraday NOAA observations will sharpen resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 7, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$72,293終了日
2026/04/11マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means project a high temperature near 62-65°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) today, driving trader consensus toward 62-63°F at 40.5% implied probability, with 60-65°F outcomes capturing over 85% of market volume. This positioning stems from model convergence over the past 48 hours amid sunny skies, northwest winds of 10-15 mph capping daytime heating, and ENSO-neutral conditions aligning with mid-April climatology averaging 60.6°F at nearby Central Park. While short-range uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover, low odds for 59°F or below (8.3%) or 66°F+ (<3%) reflect historical norms without anomalous upper-air patterns; intraday NOAA observations will sharpen resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$72,293終了日
2026/04/11マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 12:18 AM ETLatest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means project a high temperature near 62-65°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) today, driving trader consensus toward 62-63°F at 40.5% implied probability, with 60-65°F outcomes capturing over 85% of market volume. This positioning stems from model convergence over the past 48 hours amid sunny skies, northwest winds of 10-15 mph capping daytime heating, and ENSO-neutral conditions aligning with mid-April climatology averaging 60.6°F at nearby Central Park. While short-range uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover, low odds for 59°F or below (8.3%) or 66°F+ (<3%) reflect historical norms without anomalous upper-air patterns; intraday NOAA observations will sharpen resolution by evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問