Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 39.5% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature reaching 54-55°F on April 12, closely followed by 56-57°F at 28%, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting daytime highs near 55°F amid lingering effects of a recent cold frontal passage. Upper-level troughing over the Northeast has ushered in cooler mid-level air, increased cloud cover limiting solar heating, and light southerly flow capping temperatures below climatological mid-April averages of 58°F at Central Park observatory. Ensemble spreads indicate modest uncertainty, with warmer outliers possible if skies clear more than anticipated; watch for NWS's evening forecast update and tomorrow morning's observational trends ahead of resolution based on official NYC measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in NYC on April 12?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 12?
54-55°F 40%
56-57°F 28%
52-53°F 19.5%
58-59°F 8%
$24,864 Vol.
$24,864 Vol.
2026/04/12
47°F or below
1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
4%
52-53°F
20%
54-55°F
40%
56-57°F
28%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66°F or higher
<1%
54-55°F 40%
56-57°F 28%
52-53°F 19.5%
58-59°F 8%
$24,864 Vol.
$24,864 Vol.
2026/04/12
47°F or below
$2,964 Vol.
1%
48-49°F
$1,348 Vol.
1%
50-51°F
$1,722 Vol.
4%
52-53°F
$1,499 Vol.
20%
54-55°F
$1,955 Vol.
40%
56-57°F
$1,527 Vol.
28%
58-59°F
$1,877 Vol.
8%
60-61°F
$4,903 Vol.
3%
62-63°F
$1,749 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$1,703 Vol.
1%
66°F or higher
$3,616 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 39.5% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature reaching 54-55°F on April 12, closely followed by 56-57°F at 28%, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting daytime highs near 55°F amid lingering effects of a recent cold frontal passage. Upper-level troughing over the Northeast has ushered in cooler mid-level air, increased cloud cover limiting solar heating, and light southerly flow capping temperatures below climatological mid-April averages of 58°F at Central Park observatory. Ensemble spreads indicate modest uncertainty, with warmer outliers possible if skies clear more than anticipated; watch for NWS's evening forecast update and tomorrow morning's observational trends ahead of resolution based on official NYC measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$24,864終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 39.5% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature reaching 54-55°F on April 12, closely followed by 56-57°F at 28%, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting daytime highs near 55°F amid lingering effects of a recent cold frontal passage. Upper-level troughing over the Northeast has ushered in cooler mid-level air, increased cloud cover limiting solar heating, and light southerly flow capping temperatures below climatological mid-April averages of 58°F at Central Park observatory. Ensemble spreads indicate modest uncertainty, with warmer outliers possible if skies clear more than anticipated; watch for NWS's evening forecast update and tomorrow morning's observational trends ahead of resolution based on official NYC measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$24,864終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 39.5% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature reaching 54-55°F on April 12, closely followed by 56-57°F at 28%, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting daytime highs near 55°F amid lingering effects of a recent cold frontal passage. Upper-level troughing over the Northeast has ushered in cooler mid-level air, increased cloud cover limiting solar heating, and light southerly flow capping temperatures below climatological mid-April averages of 58°F at Central Park observatory. Ensemble spreads indicate modest uncertainty, with warmer outliers possible if skies clear more than anticipated; watch for NWS's evening forecast update and tomorrow morning's observational trends ahead of resolution based on official NYC measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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