National Weather Service forecasts from the Boulder office project a high near 76°F at Buckley Space Force Base— the market's resolution station—on April 11 under a persistent upper-level ridge promoting warm air advection and ample daytime heating from current morning temperatures around 50°F amid mostly cloudy skies. This strong model consensus, exceeding the April 11 climatological normal of 61°F, underpins the 99.8% trader-implied probability for 60°F or higher, reflecting a multi-day warming trend with minimal precipitation risk. Realistic challenges include unexpected shower development or a sudden cool front intrusion suppressing peaks below 60°F, though low-level confidence remains high as observations accumulate through afternoon updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Denver on April 11?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 11?
60°F or higher 99.8%
58-59°F <1%
41°F or below <1%
42-43°F <1%
$139,915 Vol.
$139,915 Vol.
41°F or below
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60°F or higher
100%
60°F or higher 99.8%
58-59°F <1%
41°F or below <1%
42-43°F <1%
$139,915 Vol.
$139,915 Vol.
41°F or below
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60°F or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 7, 2026, 1:14 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
National Weather Service forecasts from the Boulder office project a high near 76°F at Buckley Space Force Base— the market's resolution station—on April 11 under a persistent upper-level ridge promoting warm air advection and ample daytime heating from current morning temperatures around 50°F amid mostly cloudy skies. This strong model consensus, exceeding the April 11 climatological normal of 61°F, underpins the 99.8% trader-implied probability for 60°F or higher, reflecting a multi-day warming trend with minimal precipitation risk. Realistic challenges include unexpected shower development or a sudden cool front intrusion suppressing peaks below 60°F, though low-level confidence remains high as observations accumulate through afternoon updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問