Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 26°C high in Chengdu at 66.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest hourly forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com projecting a midday peak of 24–26°C at Shuangliu International Airport amid increasing overcast skies after a sunny morning start near 20°C. China Meteorological Administration guidance indicates cloudy conditions with northeast winds at 16–24 km/h and possible light rain, capping solar insolation and limiting further warming despite mild southerly air flow—a pattern seen over the past 48 hours that suppressed April 9–10 highs below 27°C. April climatology in the Sichuan Basin supports typical spring highs of 22–25°C, but model ensembles show slight upside risk to 27°C if clouds thin; real-time airport observations through late afternoon will drive final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 11?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 11?
26°C 67%
27°C 35.5%
30°C 1.0%
28°C <1%
$147,056 Vol.
$147,056 Vol.
2026/04/11
25°C
<1%
26°C
67%
27°C
36%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 67%
27°C 35.5%
30°C 1.0%
28°C <1%
$147,056 Vol.
$147,056 Vol.
2026/04/11
25°C
$80,120 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,282 Vol.
67%
27°C
$6,401 Vol.
36%
28°C
$11,396 Vol.
1%
29°C
$7,202 Vol.
1%
30°C
$4,060 Vol.
1%
31°C
$4,336 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$3,142 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 26°C high in Chengdu at 66.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest hourly forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com projecting a midday peak of 24–26°C at Shuangliu International Airport amid increasing overcast skies after a sunny morning start near 20°C. China Meteorological Administration guidance indicates cloudy conditions with northeast winds at 16–24 km/h and possible light rain, capping solar insolation and limiting further warming despite mild southerly air flow—a pattern seen over the past 48 hours that suppressed April 9–10 highs below 27°C. April climatology in the Sichuan Basin supports typical spring highs of 22–25°C, but model ensembles show slight upside risk to 27°C if clouds thin; real-time airport observations through late afternoon will drive final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 7, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
音量
$147,056終了日
2026/04/11マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 1:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 26°C high in Chengdu at 66.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest hourly forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com projecting a midday peak of 24–26°C at Shuangliu International Airport amid increasing overcast skies after a sunny morning start near 20°C. China Meteorological Administration guidance indicates cloudy conditions with northeast winds at 16–24 km/h and possible light rain, capping solar insolation and limiting further warming despite mild southerly air flow—a pattern seen over the past 48 hours that suppressed April 9–10 highs below 27°C. April climatology in the Sichuan Basin supports typical spring highs of 22–25°C, but model ensembles show slight upside risk to 27°C if clouds thin; real-time airport observations through late afternoon will drive final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$147,056終了日
2026/04/11マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 1:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 26°C high in Chengdu at 66.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest hourly forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com projecting a midday peak of 24–26°C at Shuangliu International Airport amid increasing overcast skies after a sunny morning start near 20°C. China Meteorological Administration guidance indicates cloudy conditions with northeast winds at 16–24 km/h and possible light rain, capping solar insolation and limiting further warming despite mild southerly air flow—a pattern seen over the past 48 hours that suppressed April 9–10 highs below 27°C. April climatology in the Sichuan Basin supports typical spring highs of 22–25°C, but model ensembles show slight upside risk to 27°C if clouds thin; real-time airport observations through late afternoon will drive final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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