Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 56.5% implied probability to Chengdu's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 12, closely tracking AccuWeather's forecast high of 26°C amid clouds giving way to sun, following today's observed 27°C peak at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the market's official resolution site. This positioning reflects early April 2026's anomalous warmth, with recent airport readings of 24°C on April 8 under stable high-pressure systems that have elevated spring baselines above the historical April average of 22°C. Low precipitation odds (21%) favor sustained highs, though partial cloudiness adds uncertainty to peak solar heating; fresh China Meteorological Administration model runs overnight may prompt final adjustments as observations unfold tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 12?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 12?
24°C or higher 56%
23°C 34%
22°C 11%
21°C 3.0%
$12,277 Vol.
$12,277 Vol.
2026/04/12
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
34%
24°C or higher
56%
24°C or higher 56%
23°C 34%
22°C 11%
21°C 3.0%
$12,277 Vol.
$12,277 Vol.
2026/04/12
14°C or below
$1,125 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,691 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,232 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$705 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,730 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,433 Vol.
1%
20°C
$1,179 Vol.
1%
21°C
$761 Vol.
3%
22°C
$525 Vol.
11%
23°C
$521 Vol.
34%
24°C or higher
$1,396 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 56.5% implied probability to Chengdu's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 12, closely tracking AccuWeather's forecast high of 26°C amid clouds giving way to sun, following today's observed 27°C peak at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the market's official resolution site. This positioning reflects early April 2026's anomalous warmth, with recent airport readings of 24°C on April 8 under stable high-pressure systems that have elevated spring baselines above the historical April average of 22°C. Low precipitation odds (21%) favor sustained highs, though partial cloudiness adds uncertainty to peak solar heating; fresh China Meteorological Administration model runs overnight may prompt final adjustments as observations unfold tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 8, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
音量
$12,277終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 56.5% implied probability to Chengdu's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 12, closely tracking AccuWeather's forecast high of 26°C amid clouds giving way to sun, following today's observed 27°C peak at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the market's official resolution site. This positioning reflects early April 2026's anomalous warmth, with recent airport readings of 24°C on April 8 under stable high-pressure systems that have elevated spring baselines above the historical April average of 22°C. Low precipitation odds (21%) favor sustained highs, though partial cloudiness adds uncertainty to peak solar heating; fresh China Meteorological Administration model runs overnight may prompt final adjustments as observations unfold tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$12,277終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:12 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 56.5% implied probability to Chengdu's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 12, closely tracking AccuWeather's forecast high of 26°C amid clouds giving way to sun, following today's observed 27°C peak at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the market's official resolution site. This positioning reflects early April 2026's anomalous warmth, with recent airport readings of 24°C on April 8 under stable high-pressure systems that have elevated spring baselines above the historical April average of 22°C. Low precipitation odds (21%) favor sustained highs, though partial cloudiness adds uncertainty to peak solar heating; fresh China Meteorological Administration model runs overnight may prompt final adjustments as observations unfold tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問