Central Weather Administration observations show Taipei Songshan Airport temperatures reaching 31.6°C by midday on April 11 under clear skies and a persistent warm southwesterly flow, driving market-implied odds to near-certainty on a 33°C peak as solar insolation peaks this afternoon. This positioning reflects strong consensus across short-range forecast models, which project highs of 31–32°C amid low humidity (around 60%) and light winds, consistent with recent summer-like patterns in northern Taiwan extending from prior days' 33°C records. Realistic challenges include scattered afternoon showers (20–30% probability per CWA) or enhanced sea breezes inducing mixing and surface cooling, though current stability favors the upper range; end-of-day CWA reports will confirm resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Taipei on April 11?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 11?
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C or higher <1%
$141,995 Vol.
$141,995 Vol.
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C or higher <1%
$141,995 Vol.
$141,995 Vol.
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 7, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Central Weather Administration observations show Taipei Songshan Airport temperatures reaching 31.6°C by midday on April 11 under clear skies and a persistent warm southwesterly flow, driving market-implied odds to near-certainty on a 33°C peak as solar insolation peaks this afternoon. This positioning reflects strong consensus across short-range forecast models, which project highs of 31–32°C amid low humidity (around 60%) and light winds, consistent with recent summer-like patterns in northern Taiwan extending from prior days' 33°C records. Realistic challenges include scattered afternoon showers (20–30% probability per CWA) or enhanced sea breezes inducing mixing and surface cooling, though current stability favors the upper range; end-of-day CWA reports will confirm resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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