The Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast projects a high of 31°C in Taipei on April 13 under mostly clear skies, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 27.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 32°C amid a tight cluster around 30–32°C. This positioning stems from a building subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting atmospheric subsidence and efficient daytime solar heating in the urban basin, with historical April averages near 26°C but frequent 30+°C peaks during settled weather. Differentiating factors include coastal sea-breeze moderation potentially capping peaks at 30°C, versus stronger insolation or urban heat pushing to 32°C; forecast ensembles like GFS and ECMWF exhibit 1–2°C spread due to cloud timing uncertainties. Traders await tomorrow's updated model runs and Songshan Airport observations for resolution clarity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Taipei on April 13?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 13?
31°C 28%
32°C 18%
29°C 15%
30°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/13
28°C or below
7%
29°C
15%
30°C
16%
31°C
28%
32°C
18%
33°C
7%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 28%
32°C 18%
29°C 15%
30°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/13
28°C or below
$1,070 Vol.
7%
29°C
$742 Vol.
15%
30°C
$309 Vol.
16%
31°C
$369 Vol.
28%
32°C
$325 Vol.
18%
33°C
$483 Vol.
7%
34°C
$578 Vol.
4%
35°C
$391 Vol.
2%
36°C
$679 Vol.
1%
37°C
$820 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$480 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast projects a high of 31°C in Taipei on April 13 under mostly clear skies, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 27.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 32°C amid a tight cluster around 30–32°C. This positioning stems from a building subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting atmospheric subsidence and efficient daytime solar heating in the urban basin, with historical April averages near 26°C but frequent 30+°C peaks during settled weather. Differentiating factors include coastal sea-breeze moderation potentially capping peaks at 30°C, versus stronger insolation or urban heat pushing to 32°C; forecast ensembles like GFS and ECMWF exhibit 1–2°C spread due to cloud timing uncertainties. Traders await tomorrow's updated model runs and Songshan Airport observations for resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 9, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
音量
$6,246終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:19 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast projects a high of 31°C in Taipei on April 13 under mostly clear skies, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 27.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 32°C amid a tight cluster around 30–32°C. This positioning stems from a building subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting atmospheric subsidence and efficient daytime solar heating in the urban basin, with historical April averages near 26°C but frequent 30+°C peaks during settled weather. Differentiating factors include coastal sea-breeze moderation potentially capping peaks at 30°C, versus stronger insolation or urban heat pushing to 32°C; forecast ensembles like GFS and ECMWF exhibit 1–2°C spread due to cloud timing uncertainties. Traders await tomorrow's updated model runs and Songshan Airport observations for resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$6,246終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:19 AM ETThe Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast projects a high of 31°C in Taipei on April 13 under mostly clear skies, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 27.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 32°C amid a tight cluster around 30–32°C. This positioning stems from a building subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting atmospheric subsidence and efficient daytime solar heating in the urban basin, with historical April averages near 26°C but frequent 30+°C peaks during settled weather. Differentiating factors include coastal sea-breeze moderation potentially capping peaks at 30°C, versus stronger insolation or urban heat pushing to 32°C; forecast ensembles like GFS and ECMWF exhibit 1–2°C spread due to cloud timing uncertainties. Traders await tomorrow's updated model runs and Songshan Airport observations for resolution clarity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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