Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (51.5%) and 25°C (47.5%) for Cape Town's highest temperature today, driven by the South African Weather Service's (SAWS) morning forecast of cloudy and cool-to-warm conditions in the Western Cape, easing to fine in the west with light southerly to south-easterly coastal winds and isolated showers. This setup aligns with April climatological norms of around 24°C daytime highs, but genuine uncertainty persists due to variable morning cloud cover potentially capping solar insolation at 24°C versus quicker clearing allowing 25°C peaks. Subtle sea breeze strength and upper-level subsidence from a nearby ridge differentiate outcomes, with intraday observations from Cape Town International Airport set to resolve amid model spreads in GFS and local guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月11日のケープタウンの最高気温は?
4月11日のケープタウンの最高気温は?
23°C 48%
24℃ 42%
25℃ 15%
26°C 1.2%
$3,679 Vol.
$3,679 Vol.
21℃
<1%
22℃
<1%
23°C
48%
24℃
42%
25℃
15%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C以上
<1%
23°C 48%
24℃ 42%
25℃ 15%
26°C 1.2%
$3,679 Vol.
$3,679 Vol.
21℃
<1%
22℃
<1%
23°C
48%
24℃
42%
25℃
15%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 9, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (51.5%) and 25°C (47.5%) for Cape Town's highest temperature today, driven by the South African Weather Service's (SAWS) morning forecast of cloudy and cool-to-warm conditions in the Western Cape, easing to fine in the west with light southerly to south-easterly coastal winds and isolated showers. This setup aligns with April climatological norms of around 24°C daytime highs, but genuine uncertainty persists due to variable morning cloud cover potentially capping solar insolation at 24°C versus quicker clearing allowing 25°C peaks. Subtle sea breeze strength and upper-level subsidence from a nearby ridge differentiate outcomes, with intraday observations from Cape Town International Airport set to resolve amid model spreads in GFS and local guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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