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4月11日のケープタウンの最高気温は?

Market icon

4月11日のケープタウンの最高気温は?

23°C 48%

24℃ 42%

25℃ 15%

26°C 1.2%

Polymarket

$3,679 Vol.

23°C 48%

24℃ 42%

25℃ 15%

26°C 1.2%

Polymarket

$3,679 Vol.

21℃

$595 Vol.

<1%

22℃

$587 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$213 Vol.

48%

24℃

$55 Vol.

42%

25℃

$123 Vol.

15%

26°C

$283 Vol.

1%

27°C

$193 Vol.

<1%

28°C以上

$259 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (51.5%) and 25°C (47.5%) for Cape Town's highest temperature today, driven by the South African Weather Service's (SAWS) morning forecast of cloudy and cool-to-warm conditions in the Western Cape, easing to fine in the west with light southerly to south-easterly coastal winds and isolated showers. This setup aligns with April climatological norms of around 24°C daytime highs, but genuine uncertainty persists due to variable morning cloud cover potentially capping solar insolation at 24°C versus quicker clearing allowing 25°C peaks. Subtle sea breeze strength and upper-level subsidence from a nearby ridge differentiate outcomes, with intraday observations from Cape Town International Airport set to resolve amid model spreads in GFS and local guidance.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$3,679
終了日
2026/04/11
マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てウィンドウ

最終

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (51.5%) and 25°C (47.5%) for Cape Town's highest temperature today, driven by the South African Weather Service's (SAWS) morning forecast of cloudy and cool-to-warm conditions in the Western Cape, easing to fine in the west with light southerly to south-easterly coastal winds and isolated showers. This setup aligns with April climatological norms of around 24°C daytime highs, but genuine uncertainty persists due to variable morning cloud cover potentially capping solar insolation at 24°C versus quicker clearing allowing 25°C peaks. Subtle sea breeze strength and upper-level subsidence from a nearby ridge differentiate outcomes, with intraday observations from Cape Town International Airport set to resolve amid model spreads in GFS and local guidance.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$3,679
終了日
2026/04/11
マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てウィンドウ

最終

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「4月11日のケープタウンの最高気温は?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「23°C」で48%、次いで「24℃」が42%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、48¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に48%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「4月11日のケープタウンの最高気温は?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Apr 9, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「4月11日のケープタウンの最高気温は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「4月11日のケープタウンの最高気温は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「23°C」で48%であり、市場がこの結果に48%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「24℃」で42%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「4月11日のケープタウンの最高気温は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。