Latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, projects Tel Aviv's highest temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport—a key resolution site—reaching 21°C today amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Recent observational data from the past week show consistent daily highs of 20-21°C under stable Mediterranean high-pressure influence, with a slight cooling trend noted in morning updates, driving trader consensus to an 84% implied probability for 21°C. Current midday readings near 19-20°C suggest a peak in the low 20s, though model spreads of ±1-2°C reflect inherent short-term forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover. Final NOAA observations will confirm by evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 11?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 11?
22°C 96%
23°C 4.5%
24°C or higher 3.7%
21°C 1.0%
$52,409 Vol.
$52,409 Vol.
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
96%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
4%
22°C 96%
23°C 4.5%
24°C or higher 3.7%
21°C 1.0%
$52,409 Vol.
$52,409 Vol.
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
96%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 7, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
Latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, projects Tel Aviv's highest temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport—a key resolution site—reaching 21°C today amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Recent observational data from the past week show consistent daily highs of 20-21°C under stable Mediterranean high-pressure influence, with a slight cooling trend noted in morning updates, driving trader consensus to an 84% implied probability for 21°C. Current midday readings near 19-20°C suggest a peak in the low 20s, though model spreads of ±1-2°C reflect inherent short-term forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover. Final NOAA observations will confirm by evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問