Latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS project Tel Aviv's April 13 high temperature clustering around 22-23°C, fueling trader consensus with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 28.0% implied probabilities amid short-range uncertainty typical of coastal Mediterranean spring weather. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on sea breeze strength, which could suppress peaks to 22°C via enhanced onshore flow and low-level moisture, versus slightly warmer 23°C under reduced cloud cover and subtle ridging aloft. Recent days featured cooler-than-climatological highs near 17°C due to passing disturbances, but a mild warming trend persists without extreme signals. New 00Z/12Z model runs and IMS updates tomorrow will likely refine odds as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 13?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 13?
23°C 37%
22°C 28%
24°C 20%
21°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/04/13
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
5%
21°C
12%
22°C
28%
23°C
37%
24°C
20%
25°C
6%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
2%
23°C 37%
22°C 28%
24°C 20%
21°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/04/13
17°C or below
$217 Vol.
1%
18°C
$217 Vol.
1%
19°C
$636 Vol.
3%
20°C
$130 Vol.
5%
21°C
$37 Vol.
12%
22°C
$156 Vol.
28%
23°C
$181 Vol.
37%
24°C
$183 Vol.
20%
25°C
$484 Vol.
6%
26°C
$355 Vol.
2%
27°C or higher
$109 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS project Tel Aviv's April 13 high temperature clustering around 22-23°C, fueling trader consensus with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 28.0% implied probabilities amid short-range uncertainty typical of coastal Mediterranean spring weather. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on sea breeze strength, which could suppress peaks to 22°C via enhanced onshore flow and low-level moisture, versus slightly warmer 23°C under reduced cloud cover and subtle ridging aloft. Recent days featured cooler-than-climatological highs near 17°C due to passing disturbances, but a mild warming trend persists without extreme signals. New 00Z/12Z model runs and IMS updates tomorrow will likely refine odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
音量
$2,706終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS project Tel Aviv's April 13 high temperature clustering around 22-23°C, fueling trader consensus with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 28.0% implied probabilities amid short-range uncertainty typical of coastal Mediterranean spring weather. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on sea breeze strength, which could suppress peaks to 22°C via enhanced onshore flow and low-level moisture, versus slightly warmer 23°C under reduced cloud cover and subtle ridging aloft. Recent days featured cooler-than-climatological highs near 17°C due to passing disturbances, but a mild warming trend persists without extreme signals. New 00Z/12Z model runs and IMS updates tomorrow will likely refine odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,706終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS project Tel Aviv's April 13 high temperature clustering around 22-23°C, fueling trader consensus with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 28.0% implied probabilities amid short-range uncertainty typical of coastal Mediterranean spring weather. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on sea breeze strength, which could suppress peaks to 22°C via enhanced onshore flow and low-level moisture, versus slightly warmer 23°C under reduced cloud cover and subtle ridging aloft. Recent days featured cooler-than-climatological highs near 17°C due to passing disturbances, but a mild warming trend persists without extreme signals. New 00Z/12Z model runs and IMS updates tomorrow will likely refine odds as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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