The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Central Park (KNYC station) recorded a maximum temperature of 58°F on April 10, 2026—well within the 58-59°F range—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability as the market nears resolution. This outcome aligns with observed cool, overcast conditions under a lingering upper-level trough, suppressing daytime heating despite mild southerly flow; the high occurred around midday, 2°F below the 1991-2020 April 10 normal of 60°F. Forecast models from NOAA had anticipated highs near 60°F amid light winds and scattered clouds, with no significant deviations reported. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions by NWS quality control if sensor anomalies emerge, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect <1% of daily records. Final NCEI certification expected within days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in NYC on April 10?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 10?
58-59°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$196,042 Vol.
$196,042 Vol.
2026/04/10
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
Yes
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
58-59°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$196,042 Vol.
$196,042 Vol.
2026/04/10
55°F or below
$24,825 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$19,206 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$31,033 Vol.
Yes
60-61°F
$24,069 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$18,945 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$22,628 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$15,510 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$15,427 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$11,959 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$7,223 Vol.
No
74°F or higher
$5,216 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Central Park (KNYC station) recorded a maximum temperature of 58°F on April 10, 2026—well within the 58-59°F range—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability as the market nears resolution. This outcome aligns with observed cool, overcast conditions under a lingering upper-level trough, suppressing daytime heating despite mild southerly flow; the high occurred around midday, 2°F below the 1991-2020 April 10 normal of 60°F. Forecast models from NOAA had anticipated highs near 60°F amid light winds and scattered clouds, with no significant deviations reported. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions by NWS quality control if sensor anomalies emerge, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect <1% of daily records. Final NCEI certification expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
音量
$196,042終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Central Park (KNYC station) recorded a maximum temperature of 58°F on April 10, 2026—well within the 58-59°F range—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability as the market nears resolution. This outcome aligns with observed cool, overcast conditions under a lingering upper-level trough, suppressing daytime heating despite mild southerly flow; the high occurred around midday, 2°F below the 1991-2020 April 10 normal of 60°F. Forecast models from NOAA had anticipated highs near 60°F amid light winds and scattered clouds, with no significant deviations reported. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions by NWS quality control if sensor anomalies emerge, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect <1% of daily records. Final NCEI certification expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$196,042終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Central Park (KNYC station) recorded a maximum temperature of 58°F on April 10, 2026—well within the 58-59°F range—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability as the market nears resolution. This outcome aligns with observed cool, overcast conditions under a lingering upper-level trough, suppressing daytime heating despite mild southerly flow; the high occurred around midday, 2°F below the 1991-2020 April 10 normal of 60°F. Forecast models from NOAA had anticipated highs near 60°F amid light winds and scattered clouds, with no significant deviations reported. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions by NWS quality control if sensor anomalies emerge, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect <1% of daily records. Final NCEI certification expected within days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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