Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for New York City's highest temperature on April 13, with 74-75°F and 76-77°F each implying about 24% probabilities amid a warmer-than-normal spring pattern per NOAA outlooks. Latest GFS and ECMWF runs show consensus for mid-70s highs under a building upper-level ridge fostering southerly flow and 850 mb temperatures around +15°C, boosting daytime heating above the 61°F climatological normal at Central Park. Differentiation stems from model spread on afternoon cloud cover—clearer skies in GFS favor 76-77°F, while ECMWF's partial marine stratus hints at 74-75°F—plus boundary layer mixing and urban heat island effects. Low precipitation odds (<20%) support heating potential; watch NWS 12Z updates for refinements ahead of peak heating Sunday afternoon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月13日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
4月13日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
74〜75°F 26%
76〜77°F 23.9%
72～73°F 18.8%
78〜79°F 13.9%
$20,647 Vol.
$20,647 Vol.
2026/04/13
61°F以下
<1%
62～63°F
<1%
64〜65°F
<1%
66〜67°F
1%
68～69°F
3%
70～71°F
10%
72～73°F
19%
74〜75°F
26%
76〜77°F
24%
78〜79°F
14%
80°F以上
9%
74〜75°F 26%
76〜77°F 23.9%
72～73°F 18.8%
78〜79°F 13.9%
$20,647 Vol.
$20,647 Vol.
2026/04/13
61°F以下
$5,117 Vol.
<1%
62～63°F
$3,315 Vol.
<1%
64〜65°F
$1,799 Vol.
<1%
66〜67°F
$1,871 Vol.
1%
68～69°F
$587 Vol.
3%
70～71°F
$808 Vol.
10%
72～73°F
$815 Vol.
19%
74〜75°F
$804 Vol.
26%
76〜77°F
$457 Vol.
24%
78〜79°F
$1,373 Vol.
14%
80°F以上
$3,702 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for New York City's highest temperature on April 13, with 74-75°F and 76-77°F each implying about 24% probabilities amid a warmer-than-normal spring pattern per NOAA outlooks. Latest GFS and ECMWF runs show consensus for mid-70s highs under a building upper-level ridge fostering southerly flow and 850 mb temperatures around +15°C, boosting daytime heating above the 61°F climatological normal at Central Park. Differentiation stems from model spread on afternoon cloud cover—clearer skies in GFS favor 76-77°F, while ECMWF's partial marine stratus hints at 74-75°F—plus boundary layer mixing and urban heat island effects. Low precipitation odds (<20%) support heating potential; watch NWS 12Z updates for refinements ahead of peak heating Sunday afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$20,647終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for New York City's highest temperature on April 13, with 74-75°F and 76-77°F each implying about 24% probabilities amid a warmer-than-normal spring pattern per NOAA outlooks. Latest GFS and ECMWF runs show consensus for mid-70s highs under a building upper-level ridge fostering southerly flow and 850 mb temperatures around +15°C, boosting daytime heating above the 61°F climatological normal at Central Park. Differentiation stems from model spread on afternoon cloud cover—clearer skies in GFS favor 76-77°F, while ECMWF's partial marine stratus hints at 74-75°F—plus boundary layer mixing and urban heat island effects. Low precipitation odds (<20%) support heating potential; watch NWS 12Z updates for refinements ahead of peak heating Sunday afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$20,647終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for New York City's highest temperature on April 13, with 74-75°F and 76-77°F each implying about 24% probabilities amid a warmer-than-normal spring pattern per NOAA outlooks. Latest GFS and ECMWF runs show consensus for mid-70s highs under a building upper-level ridge fostering southerly flow and 850 mb temperatures around +15°C, boosting daytime heating above the 61°F climatological normal at Central Park. Differentiation stems from model spread on afternoon cloud cover—clearer skies in GFS favor 76-77°F, while ECMWF's partial marine stratus hints at 74-75°F—plus boundary layer mixing and urban heat island effects. Low precipitation odds (<20%) support heating potential; watch NWS 12Z updates for refinements ahead of peak heating Sunday afternoon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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