Météo-France's latest forecasts project a maximum temperature of 17°C in Paris today, April 11, driving the 99.5% market-implied probability for 18°C or below, as persistent overcast skies, light drizzle, and a cool Atlantic air mass suppress daytime heating. Observational data from the Paris-Montsouris station, the official climate reference, confirm a midday peak near 17°C (63°F), with temperatures now declining into the evening amid steady cloud cover and winds around 20 km/h. This aligns with April climatological norms of 16°C average highs, following a warmer early-month spell. While model consensus is firm, a rare prolonged clearing could enable minor solar-driven warming to 19°C, though current conditions render this improbable; final readings expected by midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Paris on April 11?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 11?
18°C or below 99.4%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
20°C <1%
$180,933 Vol.
$180,933 Vol.
18°C or below
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
18°C or below 99.4%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
20°C <1%
$180,933 Vol.
$180,933 Vol.
18°C or below
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Météo-France's latest forecasts project a maximum temperature of 17°C in Paris today, April 11, driving the 99.5% market-implied probability for 18°C or below, as persistent overcast skies, light drizzle, and a cool Atlantic air mass suppress daytime heating. Observational data from the Paris-Montsouris station, the official climate reference, confirm a midday peak near 17°C (63°F), with temperatures now declining into the evening amid steady cloud cover and winds around 20 km/h. This aligns with April climatological norms of 16°C average highs, following a warmer early-month spell. While model consensus is firm, a rare prolonged clearing could enable minor solar-driven warming to 19°C, though current conditions render this improbable; final readings expected by midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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