Latest Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Paris's highest temperature on April 12 clustering around 14°C, driving trader consensus with 44.5% implied probability for that outcome and 29.5% for 15°C, reflecting convergence on partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds limiting solar heating. This follows a mild early-week warm spell peaking near 25°C on April 9 amid high pressure, but recent runs show a cooling trend from an approaching weak frontal boundary increasing cloud cover and humidity, consistent with April's climatological mean high of 16°C yet prone to 3–5°C daily swings. Uncertainty persists in model spreads (13–16°C), with final updates expected overnight; resolution hinges on verified observations from official Paris stations like Montsouris.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月12日のパリの最高気温は？
4月12日のパリの最高気温は？
14℃ 40%
15℃ 31%
16°C 18%
13°C 8%
$31,015 Vol.
$31,015 Vol.
2026/04/12
8°C以下
<1%
9℃
<1%
10℃
<1%
11℃
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
8%
14℃
40%
15℃
31%
16°C
18%
17℃
2%
18℃以上
1%
14℃ 40%
15℃ 31%
16°C 18%
13°C 8%
$31,015 Vol.
$31,015 Vol.
2026/04/12
8°C以下
$2,236 Vol.
<1%
9℃
$1,167 Vol.
<1%
10℃
$807 Vol.
<1%
11℃
$2,385 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,747 Vol.
1%
13°C
$4,775 Vol.
8%
14℃
$3,178 Vol.
40%
15℃
$2,601 Vol.
31%
16°C
$1,941 Vol.
18%
17℃
$1,903 Vol.
2%
18℃以上
$7,353 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Paris's highest temperature on April 12 clustering around 14°C, driving trader consensus with 44.5% implied probability for that outcome and 29.5% for 15°C, reflecting convergence on partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds limiting solar heating. This follows a mild early-week warm spell peaking near 25°C on April 9 amid high pressure, but recent runs show a cooling trend from an approaching weak frontal boundary increasing cloud cover and humidity, consistent with April's climatological mean high of 16°C yet prone to 3–5°C daily swings. Uncertainty persists in model spreads (13–16°C), with final updates expected overnight; resolution hinges on verified observations from official Paris stations like Montsouris.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$31,015終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Paris's highest temperature on April 12 clustering around 14°C, driving trader consensus with 44.5% implied probability for that outcome and 29.5% for 15°C, reflecting convergence on partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds limiting solar heating. This follows a mild early-week warm spell peaking near 25°C on April 9 amid high pressure, but recent runs show a cooling trend from an approaching weak frontal boundary increasing cloud cover and humidity, consistent with April's climatological mean high of 16°C yet prone to 3–5°C daily swings. Uncertainty persists in model spreads (13–16°C), with final updates expected overnight; resolution hinges on verified observations from official Paris stations like Montsouris.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$31,015終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETLatest Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Paris's highest temperature on April 12 clustering around 14°C, driving trader consensus with 44.5% implied probability for that outcome and 29.5% for 15°C, reflecting convergence on partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds limiting solar heating. This follows a mild early-week warm spell peaking near 25°C on April 9 amid high pressure, but recent runs show a cooling trend from an approaching weak frontal boundary increasing cloud cover and humidity, consistent with April's climatological mean high of 16°C yet prone to 3–5°C daily swings. Uncertainty persists in model spreads (13–16°C), with final updates expected overnight; resolution hinges on verified observations from official Paris stations like Montsouris.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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