Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84.5% implied probability to a high of 20°C or higher in Busan on April 13, driven by the latest extended forecasts from AccuWeather and Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) models projecting daytime highs around 21°C under continued mild spring conditions. Recent observational data shows Busan reaching 22°C on April 11 amid a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and boosting solar heating, exceeding the typical April average high of 18°C. Historical climatology supports this warming trend as the Siberian high retreats, though inherent forecast uncertainty remains, with ensemble models showing minor spread. Key upcoming KMA short-range updates on April 12 could refine land-based temperature guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Busan on April 13?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 13?
20°C or higher 85%
19°C 8%
18°C 4.6%
17°C 2.5%
新規
新規
2026/04/13
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
85%
20°C or higher 85%
19°C 8%
18°C 4.6%
17°C 2.5%
新規
新規
2026/04/13
10°C or below
$783 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$2,793 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$862 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$984 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$390 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$698 Vol.
1%
16°C
$452 Vol.
1%
17°C
$219 Vol.
3%
18°C
$213 Vol.
5%
19°C
$211 Vol.
8%
20°C or higher
$350 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84.5% implied probability to a high of 20°C or higher in Busan on April 13, driven by the latest extended forecasts from AccuWeather and Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) models projecting daytime highs around 21°C under continued mild spring conditions. Recent observational data shows Busan reaching 22°C on April 11 amid a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and boosting solar heating, exceeding the typical April average high of 18°C. Historical climatology supports this warming trend as the Siberian high retreats, though inherent forecast uncertainty remains, with ensemble models showing minor spread. Key upcoming KMA short-range updates on April 12 could refine land-based temperature guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 9, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
音量
$7,954終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:42 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84.5% implied probability to a high of 20°C or higher in Busan on April 13, driven by the latest extended forecasts from AccuWeather and Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) models projecting daytime highs around 21°C under continued mild spring conditions. Recent observational data shows Busan reaching 22°C on April 11 amid a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and boosting solar heating, exceeding the typical April average high of 18°C. Historical climatology supports this warming trend as the Siberian high retreats, though inherent forecast uncertainty remains, with ensemble models showing minor spread. Key upcoming KMA short-range updates on April 12 could refine land-based temperature guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$7,954終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:42 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84.5% implied probability to a high of 20°C or higher in Busan on April 13, driven by the latest extended forecasts from AccuWeather and Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) models projecting daytime highs around 21°C under continued mild spring conditions. Recent observational data shows Busan reaching 22°C on April 11 amid a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and boosting solar heating, exceeding the typical April average high of 18°C. Historical climatology supports this warming trend as the Siberian high retreats, though inherent forecast uncertainty remains, with ensemble models showing minor spread. Key upcoming KMA short-range updates on April 12 could refine land-based temperature guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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