Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 64°F or higher in Denver on April 13 (98.8% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs in the mid-60s to low 70s under mostly sunny skies with southwest winds. This positioning reflects an ongoing early April warm anomaly, with recent observations including a record-tying 80°F high on the 10th amid a persistent upper-level ridge suppressing cooler air masses—well above the 61°F climatological normal. March's mean temperature 10°F above average further contextualizes the pattern. Realistic challenges include unexpected thickening clouds or a faster-moving shortwave trough introducing instability, though ensemble models show low spread and high confidence this close to resolution; monitor afternoon updates from NOAA for any shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Denver on April 13?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 13?
64°F or higher 98.8%
56-57°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$47,112 Vol.
$47,112 Vol.
2026/04/13
45°F or below
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F or higher
99%
64°F or higher 98.8%
56-57°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$47,112 Vol.
$47,112 Vol.
2026/04/13
45°F or below
$4,798 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$5,635 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$5,695 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$3,737 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$3,532 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$3,691 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$5,326 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$3,905 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$3,899 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,397 Vol.
<1%
64°F or higher
$5,499 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 64°F or higher in Denver on April 13 (98.8% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs in the mid-60s to low 70s under mostly sunny skies with southwest winds. This positioning reflects an ongoing early April warm anomaly, with recent observations including a record-tying 80°F high on the 10th amid a persistent upper-level ridge suppressing cooler air masses—well above the 61°F climatological normal. March's mean temperature 10°F above average further contextualizes the pattern. Realistic challenges include unexpected thickening clouds or a faster-moving shortwave trough introducing instability, though ensemble models show low spread and high confidence this close to resolution; monitor afternoon updates from NOAA for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 9, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
音量
$47,112終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:38 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 64°F or higher in Denver on April 13 (98.8% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs in the mid-60s to low 70s under mostly sunny skies with southwest winds. This positioning reflects an ongoing early April warm anomaly, with recent observations including a record-tying 80°F high on the 10th amid a persistent upper-level ridge suppressing cooler air masses—well above the 61°F climatological normal. March's mean temperature 10°F above average further contextualizes the pattern. Realistic challenges include unexpected thickening clouds or a faster-moving shortwave trough introducing instability, though ensemble models show low spread and high confidence this close to resolution; monitor afternoon updates from NOAA for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$47,112終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:38 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 64°F or higher in Denver on April 13 (98.8% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs in the mid-60s to low 70s under mostly sunny skies with southwest winds. This positioning reflects an ongoing early April warm anomaly, with recent observations including a record-tying 80°F high on the 10th amid a persistent upper-level ridge suppressing cooler air masses—well above the 61°F climatological normal. March's mean temperature 10°F above average further contextualizes the pattern. Realistic challenges include unexpected thickening clouds or a faster-moving shortwave trough introducing instability, though ensemble models show low spread and high confidence this close to resolution; monitor afternoon updates from NOAA for any shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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