Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 17°C or below in Shanghai on April 12 (81.4% implied probability), aligning with the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast projecting a maximum of 17°C amid a shallow cool air mass influencing the Yangtze River Delta region. This positioning stems from recent synoptic developments, including northerly airflow and persistent cloud cover following April 11's rainy conditions (forecast high near 20°C), which suppress daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Current model runs from international sources like AccuWeather and local monitors show highs of 16–17°C under overcast skies with light precipitation potential, cooler than the April climatological average of 18–19°C. Uncertainties remain in exact boundary layer mixing, with updated CMA advisories and hourly observations expected throughout April 12 to refine outcomes ahead of official measurement at Pudong or Xujiahui stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 12?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 12?
17°C or below 81.0%
18°C 15%
19°C 2.4%
20°C 1.8%
$52,970 Vol.
$52,970 Vol.
2026/04/12
17°C or below
81%
18°C
15%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
17°C or below 81.0%
18°C 15%
19°C 2.4%
20°C 1.8%
$52,970 Vol.
$52,970 Vol.
2026/04/12
17°C or below
$9,641 Vol.
81%
18°C
$4,367 Vol.
15%
19°C
$5,628 Vol.
2%
20°C
$3,852 Vol.
2%
21°C
$3,931 Vol.
1%
22°C
$4,937 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,177 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$6,831 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,548 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,902 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$3,167 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 17°C or below in Shanghai on April 12 (81.4% implied probability), aligning with the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast projecting a maximum of 17°C amid a shallow cool air mass influencing the Yangtze River Delta region. This positioning stems from recent synoptic developments, including northerly airflow and persistent cloud cover following April 11's rainy conditions (forecast high near 20°C), which suppress daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Current model runs from international sources like AccuWeather and local monitors show highs of 16–17°C under overcast skies with light precipitation potential, cooler than the April climatological average of 18–19°C. Uncertainties remain in exact boundary layer mixing, with updated CMA advisories and hourly observations expected throughout April 12 to refine outcomes ahead of official measurement at Pudong or Xujiahui stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 8, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
音量
$52,970終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:38 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 17°C or below in Shanghai on April 12 (81.4% implied probability), aligning with the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast projecting a maximum of 17°C amid a shallow cool air mass influencing the Yangtze River Delta region. This positioning stems from recent synoptic developments, including northerly airflow and persistent cloud cover following April 11's rainy conditions (forecast high near 20°C), which suppress daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Current model runs from international sources like AccuWeather and local monitors show highs of 16–17°C under overcast skies with light precipitation potential, cooler than the April climatological average of 18–19°C. Uncertainties remain in exact boundary layer mixing, with updated CMA advisories and hourly observations expected throughout April 12 to refine outcomes ahead of official measurement at Pudong or Xujiahui stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$52,970終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:38 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 17°C or below in Shanghai on April 12 (81.4% implied probability), aligning with the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast projecting a maximum of 17°C amid a shallow cool air mass influencing the Yangtze River Delta region. This positioning stems from recent synoptic developments, including northerly airflow and persistent cloud cover following April 11's rainy conditions (forecast high near 20°C), which suppress daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Current model runs from international sources like AccuWeather and local monitors show highs of 16–17°C under overcast skies with light precipitation potential, cooler than the April climatological average of 18–19°C. Uncertainties remain in exact boundary layer mixing, with updated CMA advisories and hourly observations expected throughout April 12 to refine outcomes ahead of official measurement at Pudong or Xujiahui stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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