Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ensemble forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, projecting Shanghai's highest temperature on April 13 around 18–20°C, aligning with mid-April climatological averages of 19°C amid strengthening southerly flows. The tight clustering of odds—20°C or higher at 30.5%, 18°C at 22%, and 17°C at 19.1%—stems from uncertainty in cloud cover and potential weak frontal passages, which could suppress peaks by 1–2°C via reduced insolation or cooler boundary layer air. No major developments like unusual cold outbreaks have occurred in the past week; typical spring variability drives the spread. Watch China Meteorological Administration updates and 00Z model refreshes tomorrow for shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 13?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 13?
20°C or higher 31%
18°C 26%
17°C 17.6%
19°C 16%
$38,927 Vol.
$38,927 Vol.
2026/04/13
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
12%
17°C
18%
18°C
26%
19°C
16%
20°C or higher
31%
20°C or higher 31%
18°C 26%
17°C 17.6%
19°C 16%
$38,927 Vol.
$38,927 Vol.
2026/04/13
10°C or below
$2,477 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$2,412 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,930 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$4,253 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$3,324 Vol.
1%
15°C
$5,721 Vol.
2%
16°C
$5,144 Vol.
12%
17°C
$4,842 Vol.
18%
18°C
$2,773 Vol.
26%
19°C
$1,762 Vol.
16%
20°C or higher
$4,289 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ensemble forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, projecting Shanghai's highest temperature on April 13 around 18–20°C, aligning with mid-April climatological averages of 19°C amid strengthening southerly flows. The tight clustering of odds—20°C or higher at 30.5%, 18°C at 22%, and 17°C at 19.1%—stems from uncertainty in cloud cover and potential weak frontal passages, which could suppress peaks by 1–2°C via reduced insolation or cooler boundary layer air. No major developments like unusual cold outbreaks have occurred in the past week; typical spring variability drives the spread. Watch China Meteorological Administration updates and 00Z model refreshes tomorrow for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
音量
$38,927終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ensemble forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, projecting Shanghai's highest temperature on April 13 around 18–20°C, aligning with mid-April climatological averages of 19°C amid strengthening southerly flows. The tight clustering of odds—20°C or higher at 30.5%, 18°C at 22%, and 17°C at 19.1%—stems from uncertainty in cloud cover and potential weak frontal passages, which could suppress peaks by 1–2°C via reduced insolation or cooler boundary layer air. No major developments like unusual cold outbreaks have occurred in the past week; typical spring variability drives the spread. Watch China Meteorological Administration updates and 00Z model refreshes tomorrow for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$38,927終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ensemble forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, projecting Shanghai's highest temperature on April 13 around 18–20°C, aligning with mid-April climatological averages of 19°C amid strengthening southerly flows. The tight clustering of odds—20°C or higher at 30.5%, 18°C at 22%, and 17°C at 19.1%—stems from uncertainty in cloud cover and potential weak frontal passages, which could suppress peaks by 1–2°C via reduced insolation or cooler boundary layer air. No major developments like unusual cold outbreaks have occurred in the past week; typical spring variability drives the spread. Watch China Meteorological Administration updates and 00Z model refreshes tomorrow for shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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