Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the designated resolution source—have already recorded a peak temperature exceeding 23°C earlier today amid a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light winds, and ample solar heating over central Spain. This aligns with forecast model consensus from AEMET and ECMWF ensembles predicting daytime highs around 24–25°C, well above April climatological averages of 18–20°C, as dry continental air suppresses cloud formation and enhances near-surface warming. Trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game certainty, with the market-implied probability at 100% for 23°C or higher. Only an improbable data revision or undocumented instrument error could alter resolution, pending AEMET's end-of-day summary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Madrid on April 11?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 11?
23°C or higher 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$133,497 Vol.
$133,497 Vol.
2026/04/11
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
Yes
23°C or higher 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$133,497 Vol.
$133,497 Vol.
2026/04/11
13°C or below
$3,675 Vol.
No
14°C
$3,477 Vol.
No
15°C
$3,356 Vol.
No
16°C
$4,837 Vol.
No
17°C
$3,924 Vol.
No
18°C
$3,586 Vol.
No
19°C
$4,566 Vol.
No
20°C
$6,370 Vol.
No
21°C
$26,991 Vol.
No
22°C
$32,789 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$39,925 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the designated resolution source—have already recorded a peak temperature exceeding 23°C earlier today amid a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light winds, and ample solar heating over central Spain. This aligns with forecast model consensus from AEMET and ECMWF ensembles predicting daytime highs around 24–25°C, well above April climatological averages of 18–20°C, as dry continental air suppresses cloud formation and enhances near-surface warming. Trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game certainty, with the market-implied probability at 100% for 23°C or higher. Only an improbable data revision or undocumented instrument error could alter resolution, pending AEMET's end-of-day summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 7, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
音量
$133,497終了日
2026/04/11マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 12:45 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the designated resolution source—have already recorded a peak temperature exceeding 23°C earlier today amid a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light winds, and ample solar heating over central Spain. This aligns with forecast model consensus from AEMET and ECMWF ensembles predicting daytime highs around 24–25°C, well above April climatological averages of 18–20°C, as dry continental air suppresses cloud formation and enhances near-surface warming. Trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game certainty, with the market-implied probability at 100% for 23°C or higher. Only an improbable data revision or undocumented instrument error could alter resolution, pending AEMET's end-of-day summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$133,497終了日
2026/04/11マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 12:45 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the designated resolution source—have already recorded a peak temperature exceeding 23°C earlier today amid a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light winds, and ample solar heating over central Spain. This aligns with forecast model consensus from AEMET and ECMWF ensembles predicting daytime highs around 24–25°C, well above April climatological averages of 18–20°C, as dry continental air suppresses cloud formation and enhances near-surface warming. Trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game certainty, with the market-implied probability at 100% for 23°C or higher. Only an improbable data revision or undocumented instrument error could alter resolution, pending AEMET's end-of-day summary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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