Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature of 19°C (39%) or 20°C (30%) for Wellington on April 12, driven by MetService's latest short-range forecast models showing ensemble highs clustering around 19.5°C under mild autumn conditions with light northerlies fostering daytime heating. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences—global models like GFS lean toward 20°C with potential clear skies and stronger boundary layer mixing, while local high-resolution runs from NIWA and MetService cap at 19°C amid increasing coastal cloud and a nearby heavy rain watch for eastern regions that could suppress peaks via reduced insolation. April 2026 has averaged 1–2°C above the 17°C seasonal norm so far, but inherent forecast uncertainty persists from Wellington's variable topography and sea breezes; check MetService updates overnight for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wellington on April 12?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 12?
19°C 39%
20°C 29%
18°C 16%
21°C 15%
$45,222 Vol.
$45,222 Vol.
2026/04/12
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
16%
19°C
39%
20°C
29%
21°C
15%
22°C or higher
4%
19°C 39%
20°C 29%
18°C 16%
21°C 15%
$45,222 Vol.
$45,222 Vol.
2026/04/12
12°C or below
$1,717 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,574 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$3,379 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$10,206 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$5,863 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$4,169 Vol.
2%
18°C
$4,095 Vol.
16%
19°C
$3,354 Vol.
39%
20°C
$1,829 Vol.
29%
21°C
$4,128 Vol.
15%
22°C or higher
$4,913 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature of 19°C (39%) or 20°C (30%) for Wellington on April 12, driven by MetService's latest short-range forecast models showing ensemble highs clustering around 19.5°C under mild autumn conditions with light northerlies fostering daytime heating. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences—global models like GFS lean toward 20°C with potential clear skies and stronger boundary layer mixing, while local high-resolution runs from NIWA and MetService cap at 19°C amid increasing coastal cloud and a nearby heavy rain watch for eastern regions that could suppress peaks via reduced insolation. April 2026 has averaged 1–2°C above the 17°C seasonal norm so far, but inherent forecast uncertainty persists from Wellington's variable topography and sea breezes; check MetService updates overnight for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
音量
$45,222終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature of 19°C (39%) or 20°C (30%) for Wellington on April 12, driven by MetService's latest short-range forecast models showing ensemble highs clustering around 19.5°C under mild autumn conditions with light northerlies fostering daytime heating. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences—global models like GFS lean toward 20°C with potential clear skies and stronger boundary layer mixing, while local high-resolution runs from NIWA and MetService cap at 19°C amid increasing coastal cloud and a nearby heavy rain watch for eastern regions that could suppress peaks via reduced insolation. April 2026 has averaged 1–2°C above the 17°C seasonal norm so far, but inherent forecast uncertainty persists from Wellington's variable topography and sea breezes; check MetService updates overnight for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$45,222終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature of 19°C (39%) or 20°C (30%) for Wellington on April 12, driven by MetService's latest short-range forecast models showing ensemble highs clustering around 19.5°C under mild autumn conditions with light northerlies fostering daytime heating. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences—global models like GFS lean toward 20°C with potential clear skies and stronger boundary layer mixing, while local high-resolution runs from NIWA and MetService cap at 19°C amid increasing coastal cloud and a nearby heavy rain watch for eastern regions that could suppress peaks via reduced insolation. April 2026 has averaged 1–2°C above the 17°C seasonal norm so far, but inherent forecast uncertainty persists from Wellington's variable topography and sea breezes; check MetService updates overnight for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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