Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Munich's highest temperature on April 12 clustering around 14-16°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring 14°C at 41.5% implied probability amid a mild spring pattern. This positioning stems from recent model runs showing a brief cool-down after today's highs near 18°C, driven by increased cloud cover, lighter southerly winds, and a passing weak front reducing solar heating. Ensemble spreads reflect typical short-term uncertainty in boundary layer conditions, with 15°C or higher viable if clearer skies prevail. Official observations from Munich Airport station will resolve the market, with final DWD guidance expected overnight. Historical April highs average 14°C, reinforcing the central tendency.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Munich on April 12?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 12?
14°C 40%
15°C or higher 25%
13°C 17%
12°C 9.0%
$68,133 Vol.
$68,133 Vol.
2026/04/12
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
7%
12°C
9%
13°C
17%
14°C
40%
15°C or higher
25%
14°C 40%
15°C or higher 25%
13°C 17%
12°C 9.0%
$68,133 Vol.
$68,133 Vol.
2026/04/12
5°C or below
$2,435 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$1,433 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$2,362 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$7,565 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$12,766 Vol.
1%
10°C
$13,870 Vol.
3%
11°C
$11,316 Vol.
7%
12°C
$6,837 Vol.
9%
13°C
$2,394 Vol.
17%
14°C
$2,466 Vol.
40%
15°C or higher
$5,560 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Munich's highest temperature on April 12 clustering around 14-16°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring 14°C at 41.5% implied probability amid a mild spring pattern. This positioning stems from recent model runs showing a brief cool-down after today's highs near 18°C, driven by increased cloud cover, lighter southerly winds, and a passing weak front reducing solar heating. Ensemble spreads reflect typical short-term uncertainty in boundary layer conditions, with 15°C or higher viable if clearer skies prevail. Official observations from Munich Airport station will resolve the market, with final DWD guidance expected overnight. Historical April highs average 14°C, reinforcing the central tendency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
音量
$68,133終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Munich's highest temperature on April 12 clustering around 14-16°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring 14°C at 41.5% implied probability amid a mild spring pattern. This positioning stems from recent model runs showing a brief cool-down after today's highs near 18°C, driven by increased cloud cover, lighter southerly winds, and a passing weak front reducing solar heating. Ensemble spreads reflect typical short-term uncertainty in boundary layer conditions, with 15°C or higher viable if clearer skies prevail. Official observations from Munich Airport station will resolve the market, with final DWD guidance expected overnight. Historical April highs average 14°C, reinforcing the central tendency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$68,133終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETLatest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Munich's highest temperature on April 12 clustering around 14-16°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring 14°C at 41.5% implied probability amid a mild spring pattern. This positioning stems from recent model runs showing a brief cool-down after today's highs near 18°C, driven by increased cloud cover, lighter southerly winds, and a passing weak front reducing solar heating. Ensemble spreads reflect typical short-term uncertainty in boundary layer conditions, with 15°C or higher viable if clearer skies prevail. Official observations from Munich Airport station will resolve the market, with final DWD guidance expected overnight. Historical April highs average 14°C, reinforcing the central tendency.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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