Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 96.8% implied probability to Munich's highest temperature reaching 11°C or higher on April 13, backed by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs clustering around 12°C amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over Central Europe. Recent model runs, updated within the past 24 hours, show over 90% of ensemble members above 11°C, reflecting light southerly flows and reduced cloud cover following earlier cold air advection. April climatology supports this with average highs near 13°C at Munich Airport station, the likely resolution source. Unforeseen Arctic intrusions or denser cloud decks from the northwest could dip temperatures below 11°C, though steering currents limit such risks; monitor DWD bulletins and ECMWF 00Z April 12 release for refinements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月13日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
4月13日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
11℃以上 96.0%
9℃ <1%
10℃ <1%
7°C <1%
$27,020 Vol.
$27,020 Vol.
1°C以下
<1%
2℃
<1%
3℃
<1%
4℃
<1%
5℃
<1%
6℃
<1%
7°C
<1%
8℃
<1%
9℃
1%
10℃
1%
11℃以上
96%
11℃以上 96.0%
9℃ <1%
10℃ <1%
7°C <1%
$27,020 Vol.
$27,020 Vol.
1°C以下
<1%
2℃
<1%
3℃
<1%
4℃
<1%
5℃
<1%
6℃
<1%
7°C
<1%
8℃
<1%
9℃
1%
10℃
1%
11℃以上
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 96.8% implied probability to Munich's highest temperature reaching 11°C or higher on April 13, backed by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs clustering around 12°C amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over Central Europe. Recent model runs, updated within the past 24 hours, show over 90% of ensemble members above 11°C, reflecting light southerly flows and reduced cloud cover following earlier cold air advection. April climatology supports this with average highs near 13°C at Munich Airport station, the likely resolution source. Unforeseen Arctic intrusions or denser cloud decks from the northwest could dip temperatures below 11°C, though steering currents limit such risks; monitor DWD bulletins and ECMWF 00Z April 12 release for refinements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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