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4月13日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?

Market icon

4月13日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?

11℃以上 96.0%

9℃ <1%

10℃ <1%

7°C <1%

Polymarket
新規

$27,020 Vol.

11℃以上 96.0%

9℃ <1%

10℃ <1%

7°C <1%

Polymarket
新規

$27,020 Vol.

1°C以下

$1,290 Vol.

<1%

2℃

$2,433 Vol.

<1%

3℃

$1,189 Vol.

<1%

4℃

$2,517 Vol.

<1%

5℃

$2,311 Vol.

<1%

6℃

$3,165 Vol.

<1%

7°C

$3,251 Vol.

<1%

8℃

$2,166 Vol.

<1%

9℃

$3,740 Vol.

1%

10℃

$3,595 Vol.

1%

11℃以上

$1,364 Vol.

96%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 96.8% implied probability to Munich's highest temperature reaching 11°C or higher on April 13, backed by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs clustering around 12°C amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over Central Europe. Recent model runs, updated within the past 24 hours, show over 90% of ensemble members above 11°C, reflecting light southerly flows and reduced cloud cover following earlier cold air advection. April climatology supports this with average highs near 13°C at Munich Airport station, the likely resolution source. Unforeseen Arctic intrusions or denser cloud decks from the northwest could dip temperatures below 11°C, though steering currents limit such risks; monitor DWD bulletins and ECMWF 00Z April 12 release for refinements.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$27,020
終了日
2026/04/13
マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 96.8% implied probability to Munich's highest temperature reaching 11°C or higher on April 13, backed by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs clustering around 12°C amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over Central Europe. Recent model runs, updated within the past 24 hours, show over 90% of ensemble members above 11°C, reflecting light southerly flows and reduced cloud cover following earlier cold air advection. April climatology supports this with average highs near 13°C at Munich Airport station, the likely resolution source. Unforeseen Arctic intrusions or denser cloud decks from the northwest could dip temperatures below 11°C, though steering currents limit such risks; monitor DWD bulletins and ECMWF 00Z April 12 release for refinements.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$27,020
終了日
2026/04/13
マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「4月13日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「11℃以上」で96%、次いで「9℃」が1%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、96¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に96%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「4月13日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?」は$27Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 9, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「4月13日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「4月13日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「11℃以上」で96%であり、市場がこの結果に96%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「9℃」で1%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「4月13日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。