Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) observations at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza) confirm a midday peak of 23°C today, aligning with forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs showing highs in the 22-23°C range under partly cloudy conditions and light northeasterly winds. This positioning reflects Buenos Aires' warmer-than-normal April pattern, with a monthly mean of 20.9°C versus the 18.5°C climatological average, driven by persistent high-pressure influence. Trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for 23°C underscores the low risk of exceeding this, as solar insolation declines post-3 PM local time toward sunset around 6:30 PM. A realistic challenge would require unforecast clearing skies for extra heating, though evening cloud cover in SMN updates reduces this likelihood; final hourly data releases will solidify resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 11?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 11?
23°C 99.7%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
24°C <1%
$82,142 Vol.
$82,142 Vol.
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99.7%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
24°C <1%
$82,142 Vol.
$82,142 Vol.
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) observations at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza) confirm a midday peak of 23°C today, aligning with forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs showing highs in the 22-23°C range under partly cloudy conditions and light northeasterly winds. This positioning reflects Buenos Aires' warmer-than-normal April pattern, with a monthly mean of 20.9°C versus the 18.5°C climatological average, driven by persistent high-pressure influence. Trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for 23°C underscores the low risk of exceeding this, as solar insolation declines post-3 PM local time toward sunset around 6:30 PM. A realistic challenge would require unforecast clearing skies for extra heating, though evening cloud cover in SMN updates reduces this likelihood; final hourly data releases will solidify resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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