Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 24°C (31.5%) and 25°C (31.0%) as the highest temperature at Ezeiza International Airport on April 12, reflecting Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and international model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks in this narrow range amid a persistent warm air mass. Early April's anomalous heat—highlighted by a record minimum of 24.1°C on April 1 and recent maxima exceeding 34°C—has elevated expectations above the historical April 12 average of 23°C, supported by SMN's above-normal seasonal outlook for April-June. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon cloud cover and sea breeze onset, which could cap heating at 24°C or allow slight intensification to 25°C; hourly observations and final SMN updates on April 11 will sharpen resolution via Wunderground's daily maximum at the station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 12?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 12?
24°C 32%
25°C 31%
23°C 17%
26°C 14%
$11,610 Vol.
$11,610 Vol.
2026/04/12
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
17%
24°C
32%
25°C
31%
26°C
14%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 32%
25°C 31%
23°C 17%
26°C 14%
$11,610 Vol.
$11,610 Vol.
2026/04/12
19°C or below
$1,670 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$872 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,825 Vol.
2%
22°C
$1,108 Vol.
6%
23°C
$842 Vol.
17%
24°C
$586 Vol.
32%
25°C
$613 Vol.
31%
26°C
$1,055 Vol.
14%
27°C
$1,428 Vol.
3%
28°C
$909 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$701 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 24°C (31.5%) and 25°C (31.0%) as the highest temperature at Ezeiza International Airport on April 12, reflecting Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and international model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks in this narrow range amid a persistent warm air mass. Early April's anomalous heat—highlighted by a record minimum of 24.1°C on April 1 and recent maxima exceeding 34°C—has elevated expectations above the historical April 12 average of 23°C, supported by SMN's above-normal seasonal outlook for April-June. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon cloud cover and sea breeze onset, which could cap heating at 24°C or allow slight intensification to 25°C; hourly observations and final SMN updates on April 11 will sharpen resolution via Wunderground's daily maximum at the station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$11,610終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 24°C (31.5%) and 25°C (31.0%) as the highest temperature at Ezeiza International Airport on April 12, reflecting Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and international model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks in this narrow range amid a persistent warm air mass. Early April's anomalous heat—highlighted by a record minimum of 24.1°C on April 1 and recent maxima exceeding 34°C—has elevated expectations above the historical April 12 average of 23°C, supported by SMN's above-normal seasonal outlook for April-June. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon cloud cover and sea breeze onset, which could cap heating at 24°C or allow slight intensification to 25°C; hourly observations and final SMN updates on April 11 will sharpen resolution via Wunderground's daily maximum at the station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$11,610終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 24°C (31.5%) and 25°C (31.0%) as the highest temperature at Ezeiza International Airport on April 12, reflecting Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and international model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks in this narrow range amid a persistent warm air mass. Early April's anomalous heat—highlighted by a record minimum of 24.1°C on April 1 and recent maxima exceeding 34°C—has elevated expectations above the historical April 12 average of 23°C, supported by SMN's above-normal seasonal outlook for April-June. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon cloud cover and sea breeze onset, which could cap heating at 24°C or allow slight intensification to 25°C; hourly observations and final SMN updates on April 11 will sharpen resolution via Wunderground's daily maximum at the station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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