Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high of 22°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport today, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for this outcome amid persistent cloud cover, showers, and northerly winds limiting solar insolation. Over the past 24 hours, a cold front has delivered overnight rain and cooler air masses, sharply reducing temperatures from yesterday's mid-20s peaks typical for early April in Wuhan, where historical averages hover around 22°C. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus acknowledges minor uncertainties, such as unexpected afternoon clearing potentially nudging highs to 23°C or heavier precipitation capping below 22°C, with official airport observations providing final resolution by evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 11?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 11?
22℃ 99.8%
23℃ <1%
24℃ <1%
25℃ <1%
$76,025 Vol.
$76,025 Vol.
22℃
100%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22℃ 99.8%
23℃ <1%
24℃ <1%
25℃ <1%
$76,025 Vol.
$76,025 Vol.
22℃
100%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 7, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high of 22°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport today, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for this outcome amid persistent cloud cover, showers, and northerly winds limiting solar insolation. Over the past 24 hours, a cold front has delivered overnight rain and cooler air masses, sharply reducing temperatures from yesterday's mid-20s peaks typical for early April in Wuhan, where historical averages hover around 22°C. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus acknowledges minor uncertainties, such as unexpected afternoon clearing potentially nudging highs to 23°C or heavier precipitation capping below 22°C, with official airport observations providing final resolution by evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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