Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS show tight clustering around a 23°C high for April 12 at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driving trader consensus with 45% implied probability; overcast skies and lingering moisture from light rain on April 11 are suppressing peak temperatures by limiting solar insolation. Recent observational data confirm April 10 highs near 28°C gave way to cooler conditions yesterday, aligning with mid-April climatological norms of 22–24°C amid typical spring frontal passages. Uncertainty persists in cloud cover persistence and light winds, with 22–24°C outcomes capturing over 89% of market volume; expect resolution based on official airport measurements tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 12?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 12?
23°C 44%
24°C 26%
22°C 21%
25°C 8%
$19,484 Vol.
$19,484 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
21%
23°C
44%
24°C
26%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
3%
23°C 44%
24°C 26%
22°C 21%
25°C 8%
$19,484 Vol.
$19,484 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
21%
23°C
44%
24°C
26%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS show tight clustering around a 23°C high for April 12 at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driving trader consensus with 45% implied probability; overcast skies and lingering moisture from light rain on April 11 are suppressing peak temperatures by limiting solar insolation. Recent observational data confirm April 10 highs near 28°C gave way to cooler conditions yesterday, aligning with mid-April climatological norms of 22–24°C amid typical spring frontal passages. Uncertainty persists in cloud cover persistence and light winds, with 22–24°C outcomes capturing over 89% of market volume; expect resolution based on official airport measurements tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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