Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight 48-hour forecast uncertainty for Wuhan Tianhe International Airport's highest temperature on April 13, with ensemble models from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS converging around 22–23°C peaks—22°C at 33% implied probability and 23°C at 32.5%. Recent frontal activity bringing cloud cover and scattered rain, as seen in today's overcast conditions with highs near 24°C, suppresses daytime heating via reduced insolation, differentiating lower outcomes like 21°C (19%) from warmer ones. April climatology supports this range, with historical average highs of 22°C amid variable Yangtze River Valley weather patterns. Updated model runs and April 12 observations will sharpen resolution amid typical short-range spread in boundary layer forecasts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 13?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 13?
22°C 32%
23°C 32%
21°C 18%
24°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/13
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
18%
22°C
32%
23°C
32%
24°C
13%
25°C
7%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 32%
23°C 32%
21°C 18%
24°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/13
17°C or below
$1,066 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$308 Vol.
1%
19°C
$746 Vol.
2%
20°C
$245 Vol.
5%
21°C
$40 Vol.
18%
22°C
$119 Vol.
32%
23°C
$108 Vol.
32%
24°C
$303 Vol.
13%
25°C
$115 Vol.
7%
26°C
$59 Vol.
3%
27°C or higher
$197 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight 48-hour forecast uncertainty for Wuhan Tianhe International Airport's highest temperature on April 13, with ensemble models from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS converging around 22–23°C peaks—22°C at 33% implied probability and 23°C at 32.5%. Recent frontal activity bringing cloud cover and scattered rain, as seen in today's overcast conditions with highs near 24°C, suppresses daytime heating via reduced insolation, differentiating lower outcomes like 21°C (19%) from warmer ones. April climatology supports this range, with historical average highs of 22°C amid variable Yangtze River Valley weather patterns. Updated model runs and April 12 observations will sharpen resolution amid typical short-range spread in boundary layer forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 9, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
音量
$3,306終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:10 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight 48-hour forecast uncertainty for Wuhan Tianhe International Airport's highest temperature on April 13, with ensemble models from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS converging around 22–23°C peaks—22°C at 33% implied probability and 23°C at 32.5%. Recent frontal activity bringing cloud cover and scattered rain, as seen in today's overcast conditions with highs near 24°C, suppresses daytime heating via reduced insolation, differentiating lower outcomes like 21°C (19%) from warmer ones. April climatology supports this range, with historical average highs of 22°C amid variable Yangtze River Valley weather patterns. Updated model runs and April 12 observations will sharpen resolution amid typical short-range spread in boundary layer forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$3,306終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:10 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight 48-hour forecast uncertainty for Wuhan Tianhe International Airport's highest temperature on April 13, with ensemble models from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS converging around 22–23°C peaks—22°C at 33% implied probability and 23°C at 32.5%. Recent frontal activity bringing cloud cover and scattered rain, as seen in today's overcast conditions with highs near 24°C, suppresses daytime heating via reduced insolation, differentiating lower outcomes like 21°C (19%) from warmer ones. April climatology supports this range, with historical average highs of 22°C amid variable Yangtze River Valley weather patterns. Updated model runs and April 12 observations will sharpen resolution amid typical short-range spread in boundary layer forecasts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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