Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 70% implied probability for a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on April 13 at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport, aligned with late dry season climatology where average April highs reach 33°C amid persistent subtropical ridging and minimal cloud cover. Recent observations over the past week show consistent afternoon peaks of 32–34°C, fueled by high solar insolation, low humidity below 60%, and light winds, per station data via Wunderground. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models reinforce this, projecting 33–35°C under clear skies and upper-level subsidence, though sea breeze development or stray convection could cap intensities at 32°C. Key updates from Panama's meteorological service expected in the next 24 hours ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Panama City on April 13?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 13?
33°C or higher 72%
31°C 10%
32°C 10%
29°C 1.3%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
10%
32°C
18%
33°C or higher
76%
33°C or higher 72%
31°C 10%
32°C 10%
29°C 1.3%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
10%
32°C
18%
33°C or higher
76%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 9, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 70% implied probability for a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on April 13 at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport, aligned with late dry season climatology where average April highs reach 33°C amid persistent subtropical ridging and minimal cloud cover. Recent observations over the past week show consistent afternoon peaks of 32–34°C, fueled by high solar insolation, low humidity below 60%, and light winds, per station data via Wunderground. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models reinforce this, projecting 33–35°C under clear skies and upper-level subsidence, though sea breeze development or stray convection could cap intensities at 32°C. Key updates from Panama's meteorological service expected in the next 24 hours ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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